PPP's new Ohio poll finds that the race in the state continues to be very tight. Hillary Clinton's at 44% to 43% for Donald Trump, 5% for Gary Johnson, and 2% for Jill Stein. If voters had to choose just between Clinton and Trump, Clinton's advantage remains one point at 48/47.
Ohio's emblematic of what we see in much of the country. Voters don't like Hillary Clinton- she has a 42/54 favorability rating. But they like Donald Trump even less, with his favorability coming in at 38/56. To put Trump's unpopularity in the state in perspective, we asked Ohioans whether they have a more favorable opinion of Trump or the University of Michigan- and 'That School Up North' beat out Trump 48/33.
One thing that could help Clinton win Ohio in the end is that voters in the state say they'd rather have four more years of Barack Obama as President than Trump, 51/45. If Clinton can effectively convince voters she would be the continuation of the country's current direction that they prefer to the sharp pivot a Trump presidency would represent, it could put her over the top here.
There's been a lot of attention paid in the last week to Trump's tax returns and it's clear the attention is hurting him in Ohio. Only 35% of voters in the state think Trump pays his fair share in federal income taxes, to 47% who think he doesn't. Among those who don't think Trump pays his fair share, he's trailing Clinton 77-9. A plurality of voters in Ohio- 45%- think they personally pay more in taxes than Trump does to only 34% of voters who think Trump pays more. There continues to be a strong consensus among voters that Trump should release his returns- 61% say he ought to do that, to only 25% who don't think it's necessary. Of course one reason for his reluctance may be that releasing his returns could confirm a suspicion that voters have about Trump's finances- only 35% believe that he's as rich as he says he is.
Other findings from Ohio:
-There's been a lot of discussion this week about whether Donald Trump is a good role model for children, and voters in Ohio pretty emphatically say that he is not. Just 23% consider him to be a good role model, with 64% saying he isn't. It's not surprising that only 3% of Clinton voters think Trump's a good role model, with 96% saying that he isn't. But what's more striking is that even among Trump's own voters, just 46% will say that he's a good role model, to 31% who say he isn't, and 23% who aren't sure.