PPP's newest poll on the race for Governor in North Carolina finds...basically the same thing as the last three polls. Pat McCrory holds a 7 point lead over Walter Dalton, 45-38, with Libertarian Barbara Howe at 7%. McCrory's lead has been 6-7 points in all four surveys PPP has conducted since Dalton won the Democratic nomination.
McCrory continues to lead for two main reasons. He's up by double digits with independents, 46-32. And he's benefiting from a considerably more unified party base. 79% of Republicans say that they're going to vote for him, while only 64% of Democrats are committed to Dalton at this point.
The negativity of the campaign seems to be taking a toll on the image of both candidates. McCrory's net favorability has dropped from +10 last month to now +7 with 41% of voters rating him favorably and 34% holding a negative opinion. Dalton's declined by 6 points from -1 to -7 with 24% of voters rating him favorably and 31% with a negative opinion.
The Republican strength at the top of the ticket looks to be making the other statewide offices more competitive than usual this year as well. The race for Lieutenant Governor is effectively tied, with Republican Dan Forest leading Democrat Linda Coleman 38-37.
The biggest leader in this month's poll is Republican Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry, who's up 10 points on Democratic challenger John Brooks at 44-34.
Voters continue to be very unhappy with the state legislature. Only 22% of voters approve of the job it's doing to 49% who disapprove. The Democrats in the General Assembly (36/48 favorability) are unpopular, but the Republicans (35/52) are even more unpopular. As a result Democrats lead the generic legislative ballot by a 44/43 margin. With the Republican drawn redistricting lines Democrats are not likely to be able to retake either chamber of the legislature with that kind of split. It's looking like a pretty good year for the GOP on the state level in North Carolina.
Full results here