« | Main | Romney leads in N.C. for first time since October »

June 12, 2012

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Jordan

Why was Gary Johnson not included in the poll? He is polling at around 8% on average in other polls, which is huge for a presidential election. Why is PPP excluding him?

Rnegade

I wonder how much supporting gay marriage has hurt Obama in NC. After all, they did support the gay marriage ban by quite a large margin.

MarylandDad51

I have to wonder if some of the "black" respondents in this sample were really white GOP pranksters trying to mess up the poll results. The percentage of black voters supporting Romney in most recent surveys has been so low that it is hard for me to believe that you could have gotten a true black subsample with 20 percent Romney supporters, even allowing for sampling error.

realnrh

Johnson was at 8% in PPP's poll in January and at 6% in May. Outside of maybe New Mexico, Arizona and New Hampshire, he's not going to pull anything close to that number anywhere. When his support is so low to start with, he pretty much can't poll lower, so will tend to poll higher within the margin of error.

Build local party apparatus first, get some state legislative seats, become an actual party instead of a Republican adjunct, and then Libertarians might be positioned to field a credible candidate. Same would go for Greens on the other side. And yes, Libertarians are tremendously more aligned with Republicans than Democrats; Republicans and Libertarians in philosophy and practice are enthusiastically aligned in the desire to destroy the American government, and no other issue on the Libertarian platform is of anywhere near that magnitude to the vast majority of Democrats.

Running a presidential race without having a competitive party on the rest of the ticket is pretty much hoping that lightning strikes. Don't expect to get lottery-winner coverage just because you bought a ticket.

Naturalized Texan

MARGIN OF ERROR 3.4%
YOU MENTION THE 2 POINT SPREAD, BUT NOT THE FACT THAT IT IS WELL WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR.
THAT'S JUST BAD REPORTING.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2014

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.


WSJ Graphic

CONTACT US

Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us

RECENT POSTS

Categories

HIRE PPP

Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >

FOLLOW US

Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader
Email Sign up: New Polling Data email