« Senate Bill 5 headed for resounding defeat Tuesday | Main | Democrat leads in key Iowa race »

November 06, 2011


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Mark B.

Sweet relief. Thank you PPP. Midwestern Dems for the win!


I am starting to fall in love with PPP. Really, awesome polling work that no one else dared to do. If this poll nails the result, you will have made a reputation for yourselves in IA just as you did in WI and in NY-9.

Thank you for using the "most important" language on the question about the salience of marriage. I am not sure if that was the result of your considering my suggestion from a few days ago or whether you were going to phrase it this way anyway, but regardless, you nailed the question this time. For the first time, we have a good confirmation of the low salience of this issue in a special election.

I also think it is interesting that views on gay marriage in this district are approaching parity. SD 18 is a balanced district with a conservative bent, so a 42/46 split shows real movement from just a few years ago. If you had polled there in 2009, I would guess that opposition would have run at about 60%.

FYI, the other key metrics point to a Mathis win. Mathis is substantially ahead in fundraising - $690,000 to $281,000 (including in-kind contributions and independent expenditures). Based on the party identification of those requesting and returning absentee ballots, she is running ahead of Golding by more than 2-1, and likely will have about a lead of 3,000 votes going into election day. Ballot requests and ballot returns from independent voters have been much more likely to come from Dem-leaning precincts, so I wonder whether turnout may not erase Mathis's deficit among self-identified independents.

Again, great work. You should be proud of yourselves.


I really hope that same-sex marriage stays legal in Iowa, Vander Platts is really starting to get desperate on overturning the state supreme court decision.

Sam Dodsworth

Great questions, thanks so much for doing this poll!!

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)

PPP POLLS BY YEAR: 2006-2017

We came to PPP after a public poll in the San Jose Mayoral race showed our opponent ahead by 8 points. They found our candidate (Sam Liccardo) ahead by 3 points and that allowed us to be able to push back with the press against the perception that our opponent was now a strong favorite in the race. Sam ended up winning by 2 points and is now the next Mayor of San Jose. PPP worked very fast and had a very accurate read on the electorate when we needed them
–Eric Jaye, Storefront Political Media.

For more information on hiring PPP for your polling needs click here

Among the Best Pollsters, Year after Year.

2014 :
Rated Most Accurate Pollster in Governor’s Races Nationally

2012 :
Correctly predicted the winner of every state in the Presidential race, and the winner of every major Senate race

2010 :
First pollster to predict Scott Brown’s upset win over Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate race, only pollster to predict Christine O’Donnell’s upset victory over Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.

2008 :
Ranked by the Wall Street Journal as the 2nd most accurate swing state pollster in the Presidential election.

WSJ Graphic


Public Policy Polling
2912 Highwoods Blvd., Suite 201
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888.621.6988

Questions or Comments?
Email Us




Dean Debnam Dean Debnam
Public Policy Polling CEO

PPP is best known for putting out highly accurate polling on key political races across the country, but we also do affordable private research for candidates and organizations.  Why pay tens of thousands of dollars for a survey when one of the most reliable companies in the nation can do it for less?"

Learn more about working
with PPP for your next project >


Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
RSS Feed RSS Reader