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September 13, 2011


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I wish you would have asked whether they'd vote for Obama or Ron Paul. Ron Paul has a huge following & I think he may get the Republican nomination.

Dustin Ingalls

We are going to start polling Paul against Obama this weekend.


If you're polling Gingrich and Bachmann, there is no reason not to include Ron Paul as well. The Real Clear Politics polling average has him in a clear 3rd behind Perry and Romney.

Dustin Ingalls

Like I said, we will be. But we only go by our own polls, and Paul had not until now been in the top five in our national polls. Take a look at what we just released--he's now 3rd.


I also look forward to polling on Ron Paul, but for different reasons. I don't think he is nearly as popular was his (borderline fanatic) supporters think he is. A large, representative poll is the better way to gauge his popularity than the Iowa straw poll. I wouldn't be surprised if his support is up a little, but I'd be surprised if he ever tops 20%, even in a 3-way race.

Dustin Ingalls

We've already been polling Paul in the primary since we started looking at the race last year. He's a strong 4th in IA and now 3rd nationally.

Earl Shaffer

I noticed that a lot more Democrates voted than anything else. This seems the be the problem in many Republican polls. That is that there "audience" is mostly Republican. I wonder if these poll numbers reflect truly random samples of people? My point is that if these polls were taken on a web site frequented by Republicans, the numbers would likely be very different. I am not a statistical expert, but I wonder if anything has been done to address this issue?

Dustin Ingalls

These polls aren't taken online. They are taken by phone with a random sample of voters nationally.

Earl Shaffer

I see. Nice job. Since the independants are the true wildcards, I would find it interesting to find out who they are favoring with the above questions. It would be interesting to get their impression of the Tea Party too since it seems likely that Tea Party will have a great influence.

Dustin Ingalls

All of that can be found by clicking on the link for the full results above.

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