A new pair of PPP polls in districts that Donald Trump won by 5 points or more last year shows how Democrats are primed for victory even in generally red territory in next year’s midterms.
Our new survey of Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional district, released by our partners at House Majority PAC this week, showed the negative impact the newly passed budget bill is already having on Republican prospects for next year.
By a 24 point margin voters say they’re less likely to vote for Scott Perry because of his support for the bill. That’s helping Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson to an early 46-43 lead over him in a rematch of their contest from last year.
Stelson’s lead is particularly impressive because PA-10 voted for Trump by 5 points last year. But his popularity has declined with his approval rating in the district now under water at -3 (45/48.)
Trump won by an even wider margin of 9 points last year in Iowa’s 1st Congressional district. But a recent PPP poll for HMP found him under water there now too at 46/47. He looks popular compared to Republican Congresswoman Mariannette Miller-Meeks though. She has a -14 approval rating at 31/45.
The joint unpopularity of Trump and Miller-Meeks has Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan leading a rematch of their face off last fall 43-39.
Democrats are primed to expand the map in 2026. If we can help you with anything- seeing the political impact of the Republican budget bill at the state and district level, getting early looks at 2026 races, polling related to things going on in Congress or state legislatures, and of course 2025 races across the country please e-mail us at information@publicpolicypolling.com for the best combination of accuracy and affordability out there!
And PPP would like to congratulate our client Adelita Grijalva on her resounding victory this week in the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 7th Congressional District. After she wins the general she will be a great addition to Congress. Our polling at the outset of the campaign showing her as an overwhelming front runner held up to Tuesday’s results.
