Raleigh, N.C. — PPP’s final polls for the Senate and Governor in Georgia, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Kansas, and Iowa find close races pretty much across the board.
In Georgia David Perdue leads Michelle Nunn 46/45 with Libertarian Amanda Swafford getting 5%. It still looks like this race is headed to a runoff. Our polls over the last month have consistently found a close race with Perdue up 2, then tied, then tied again, and now up 1. The candidates have almost identical favorability ratings with Nunn at 45/41 and Perdue at 43/41.
In the Governor’s race Nathan Deal appears to have a better shot at an outright victory tomorrow night. Deal is polling at 47% to 43% for Jason Carter, with Libertarian Andrew Hunt getting 4%. Libertarian candidates often poll better ahead of the election than they actually end up doing on election day- if that’s the case here and Deal can hold onto his 4 point advantage he will win without a runoff.
There’s not a ton of hope for Democrats further down the ballot in Georgia. Republicans lead for all the rest of the statewide offices by anywhere from 6 to 14 points.
In the North Carolina Senate race Kay Hagan leads Thom Tillis 46/44, with Libertarian Sean Haugh at 5%. PPP has polled this contest four times over the last two weeks and found Hagan leading by 3, 1, 1, and now 2. When you take Haugh out of the picture Hagan still leads Tillis by 2 points at 48/46- he is not really playing the spoiler role now that he was earlier in the campaign. This continues to be a race featuring two unpopular candidates, but as has been the case all year Tillis’ numbers are worse than Hagan’s. Her approval is 41/49, his favorability is 36/48.
In New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen leads Scott Brown 49/47. Shaheen’s support has not budged from the 49-50% mark in PPP’s polling since August. She’s led 50/44, 50/44, 49/45, 49/47, and now 49/47 again. Brown’s support has crept up as undecideds have come off the fence, but if Shaheen continues to hold onto the level of support she’s had it should be enough to give her a narrow victory. Brown’s been plagued by poor favorability numbers throughout the campaign and on this final poll he’s still under water at 44/46. The race for Governor in New Hampshire has tightened a little bit, but Maggie Hassan still has a relatively sold lead over Walt Havenstein at 51/45.
Both of the races in Kansas couldn’t be much closer. Paul Davis leads Sam Brownback 46/45 and Greg Orman leads Pat Roberts 47/46. What’s interesting is that even though the top of the ticket is incredibly competitive, everything else in Kansas pretty much looks like a normal election- Secretary of State Kris Kobach has a 5 point advantage and beyond that the Republican candidates for down ballot offices lead by 11 points for Insurance Commissioner, 27 points for Attorney General, and 28 points for Treasurer, pretty normal sorts of numbers for elections in Kansas.
It continues to be Brownback and Roberts’ unique unpopularity that’s making their races so competitive. Brownback has a 37/54 approval spread, and Roberts’ is 34/54. Usually politicians with those kinds of approval ratings are doomed for reelection but Kansas’ deep red hue is still giving them a shot.
Finally in Iowa we find Joni Ernst with a 48/45 advantage over Bruce Braley. She has a narrowly positive favorability rating at 46/45, while Braley’s is slightly negative at 42/45. Terry Branstad continues to lead comfortably for reelection at 51/40 over Jack Hatch. Down ballot Democrats have big leads for Treasurer and Attorney General, with the Republican up big for Secretary of Agriculture. The races for Auditor and Secretary of State are closer. Republican Mary Mossiman leads 46/41 for the former, while Democrat Brad Anderson has moved into the lead for Secretary of State at 44/38 over Paul Pate.
PPP surveyed 1,265 likely voters in Iowa, 1,333 likely voters in North Carolina, 1,690 likely voters in New Hampshire, 975 likely voters in Georgia, and 963 likely voters in Kansas from November 1st to 3rd. The margins of error for the surveys are +/-2.8%, +/-2.7%, +/-2.4%, +/-3.1%, and +/-3.2% respectively. 80% of interviews for each poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here (GA), here (IA), here (KS), here (NH), and here (NC).
Georgia Toplines
Q1 The candidates for Governor are Republican
Nathan Deal, Democrat Jason Carter, and
Libertarian Andrew Hunt. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Nathan Deal……………………………………………. 47%
Jason Carter …………………………………………… 43%
Andrew Hunt …………………………………………… 4%
Undecided………………………………………………. 6%
Q2 Combined horse race, with Hunt supporters
and undecideds asked if they lean Deal or
Carter
Nathan Deal……………………………………………. 49%
Jason Carter …………………………………………… 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 6%
Q3 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican
David Perdue, Democrat Michelle Nunn, and
Libertarian Amanda Swafford. If the election
was today, who would you vote for?
David Perdue ………………………………………….. 46%
Michelle Nunn …………………………………………. 45%
Amanda Swafford ……………………………………. 5%
Undecided………………………………………………. 5%
Q4 Combined horse race, with Swafford
supporters and undecideds asked if they lean
Perdue or Nunn
David Perdue ………………………………………….. 48%
Michelle Nunn …………………………………………. 48%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q5 The candidates for Lieutenant Governor are
Republican Casey Cagle and Democrat
Connie Stokes. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Casey Cagle …………………………………………… 52%
Connie Stokes ………………………………………… 38%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%
Q6 The candidates for Attorney General are
Republican Sam Olens and Democrat Greg
Hecht. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Sam Olens ……………………………………………… 51%
Greg Hecht …………………………………………….. 37%
Undecided………………………………………………. 12%
Q7 The candidates for Agriculture Commissioner
are Republican Gary Black and Democrat
Chris Irvin. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Gary Black ……………………………………………… 47%
Chris Irvin……………………………………………….. 41%
Undecided………………………………………………. 12%
Q8 The candidates for Insurance Commissioner
are Republican Ralph Hudgens, Democrat Liz
Johnson, and Libertarian Ted Metz. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
Ralph Hudgens ……………………………………….. 46%
Liz Johnson…………………………………………….. 37%
Ted Metz ………………………………………………… 6%
Undecided………………………………………………. 11%
Q9 The candidates for Labor Commissioner are
Republican Mark Butler and Democrat Robbin
Shipp. If the election was today, who would you
vote for?
Mark Butler …………………………………………….. 47%
Robbin Shipp ………………………………………….. 39%
Undecided………………………………………………. 14%
Q10 The candidates for Secretary of State are
Republican Brian Kemp and Democrat Doreen
Carter. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Brian Kemp…………………………………………….. 50%
Doreen Carter …………………………………………. 41%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%
Q11 The candidates for State Superintendent are
Republican Richard Woods and Democrat
Valarie Wilson. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Richard Woods ……………………………………….. 47%
Valarie Wilson…………………………………………. 40%
Undecided………………………………………………. 13%
Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 37%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Nathan Deal’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 45%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jason Carter?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 43%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 21%
Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of David Perdue?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 43%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Michelle Nunn?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 45%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q17 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Johnny Isakson’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 39%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 28%
Q18 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Saxby Chambliss’ job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q19 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 44%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 49%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 7%
Q20 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 16%
Moderate………………………………………………… 26%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 26%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 21%
Q21 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q22 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 40%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 25%
Q23 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 64%
African-American …………………………………….. 29%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q24 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 11%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 23%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 42%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 24%
Q25 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
North Carolina Toplines
Q1 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Kay Hagan, Republican Thom Tillis, and
Libertarian Sean Haugh. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 46%
Thom Tillis ……………………………………………… 44%
Sean Haugh……………………………………………. 5%
Undecided………………………………………………. 6%
Q2 Combined horse race, with Haugh supporters
and undecideds asked if they lean Hagan or
Tillis
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 48%
Thom Tillis ……………………………………………… 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 6%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 39%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 54%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay
Hagan’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 41%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Thom Tillis?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 36%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 48%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q7 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Richard Burr’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 33%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 39%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 48%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 48%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 5%
Q9 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 17%
Moderate………………………………………………… 29%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 23%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 20%
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 43%
Republican……………………………………………… 35%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 22%
Q12 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 74%
African-American …………………………………….. 21%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%
Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 40%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 26%
Q14 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
Q15 Area Code
252………………………………………………………… 11%
336………………………………………………………… 15%
704………………………………………………………… 15%
828………………………………………………………… 12%
910………………………………………………………… 9%
919………………………………………………………… 17%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
New Hampshire Toplines
Q1 The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Scott Brown. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 49%
Scott Brown ……………………………………………. 47%
Undecided………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Combined horse race, with undecideds asked
if they lean Shaheen or Brown
Jeanne Shaheen …………………………………….. 50%
Scott Brown ……………………………………………. 48%
Completely undecided ……………………………… 3%
Q3 The candidates for Governor this fall are
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Walt Havenstein. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 51%
Walt Havenstein………………………………………. 45%
Undecided………………………………………………. 4%
Q4 Combined horse race, with undecideds asked
if they lean Hassan or Havenstein
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 51%
Walt Havenstein………………………………………. 46%
Completely undecided ……………………………… 3%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 36%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 47%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Scott Brown?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 44%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q8 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Maggie Hassan’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 51%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Walt Havenstein?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 40%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 27%
Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly
Ayotte’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 49%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q11 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 49%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 46%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 5%
Q12 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 9%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 21%
Moderate………………………………………………… 35%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 23%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 12%
Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 29%
Republican……………………………………………… 27%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 44%
Q15 If you are white, press 1. If other, press2
White …………………………………………………….. 91%
Other……………………………………………………… 9%
Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 16%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 48%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 26%
Q17 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
Kansas Toplines
Q1 The candidates for Governor are Republican
Sam Brownback, Democrat Paul Davis, and
Libertarian Keen Umbehr. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Sam Brownback………………………………………. 45%
Paul Davis………………………………………………. 46%
Keen Umbehr………………………………………….. 4%
Undecided………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Combined horse race, with Umbehr supporters
and undecideds asked if they lean Brownback
or Davis
Sam Brownback………………………………………. 47%
Paul Davis………………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q3 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican
Pat Roberts, independent Greg Orman, and
Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Pat Roberts…………………………………………….. 46%
Greg Orman……………………………………………. 47%
Randall Batson ……………………………………….. 3%
Undecided………………………………………………. 4%
Q4 Combined horse race, with Batson supporters
and undecideds asked if they lean Roberts or
Orman
Pat Roberts…………………………………………….. 47%
Greg Orman……………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q5 The candidates for Secretary of State are
Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean
Schodorf. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Kris Kobach ……………………………………………. 49%
Jean Schodorf…………………………………………. 44%
Undecided………………………………………………. 7%
Q6 The candidates for Attorney General are
Republican Derek Schmidt and Democrat A.J.
Kotich. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Derek Schmidt ………………………………………… 59%
A.J. Kotich………………………………………………. 32%
Undecided………………………………………………. 9%
Q7 The candidates for State Treasurer are
Republican Ron Estes and Democrat Carmen
Alldritt. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Ron Estes ………………………………………………. 60%
Carmen Alldritt ………………………………………… 32%
Undecided………………………………………………. 9%
Q8 The candidates for Insurance Commissioner
are Republican Ken Selzer and Democrat
Dennis Anderson. If the election was today,
who would you vote for?
Ken Selzer ……………………………………………… 51%
Dennis Anderson …………………………………….. 40%
Undecided………………………………………………. 9%
Q9 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 30%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 61%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%
Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Sam Brownback’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 37%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 54%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%
Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Paul Davis?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 42%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 22%
Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat
Roberts’ job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 34%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 54%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Greg Orman?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 43%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q14 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jerry
Moran’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 43%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 27%
Q15 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 36%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 54%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 10%
Q16 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 6%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 16%
Moderate………………………………………………… 32%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 27%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 20%
Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 27%
Republican……………………………………………… 53%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 20%
Q19 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 91%
African-American …………………………………….. 5%
Other……………………………………………………… 4%
Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 20%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 25%
Q21 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
Iowa Toplines
Q1 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst,
Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth
Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
Bruce Braley …………………………………………… 45%
Joni Ernst……………………………………………….. 48%
Douglas Butzier……………………………………….. 1%
Bob Quast………………………………………………. 0%
Ruth Smith……………………………………………… 0%
Rick Stewart……………………………………………. 1%
Undecided………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Combined horse race, with third-party
supporters and undecideds asked if they lean
Braley or Ernst
Bruce Braley …………………………………………… 46%
Joni Ernst……………………………………………….. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q3 The candidates for Governor are Republican
Terry Branstad, Democrat Jack Hatch, New
Independent Party candidate Jim Hennager,
Libertarian Party candidate Lee Deakins Hieb,
and Iowa Party candidate Jonathan Narcisse. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Terry Branstad ………………………………………… 51%
Jack Hatch……………………………………………… 40%
Jim Hennager …………………………………………. 2%
Lee Deakins Hieb ……………………………………. 2%
Jonathan Narcisse …………………………………… 1%
Undecided………………………………………………. 5%
Q4 Combined horse race, with third-party
supporters and undecideds asked if they lean
Branstad or Hatch
Terry Branstad ………………………………………… 54%
Jack Hatch……………………………………………… 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q5 The candidates for Secretary of State are
Democrat Brad Anderson, Republican Paul
Pate, New Independent Party candidate
Spencer Highland, and Libertarian Jake Porter.
If the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Brad Anderson………………………………………… 44%
Paul Pate ……………………………………………….. 38%
Spencer Highland ……………………………………. 3%
Jake Porter …………………………………………….. 3%
Undecided………………………………………………. 13%
Q6 The candidates for Auditor of State are
Democrat Jonathan Neiderbach and
Republican Mary Mosiman. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Jonathan Neiderbach……………………………….. 41%
Mary Mosiman ………………………………………… 46%
Undecided………………………………………………. 14%
Q7 The candidates for Treasurer of State are
Democrat Michael Fitzgerald, Republican Sam
Clovis, and Libertarian Keith Laube. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
Michael Fitzgerald……………………………………. 48%
Sam Clovis……………………………………………… 38%
Keith Laube…………………………………………….. 5%
Undecided………………………………………………. 8%
Q8 The candidates for Secretary of Agriculture are
Democrat Sherrie Taha, Republican Bill
Northey, and New Independent Party
candidate Levi Benning. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Sherrie Taha …………………………………………… 33%
Bill Northey …………………………………………….. 51%
Levi Benning…………………………………………… 5%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%
Q9 The candidates for Attorney General are
Democrat Tom Miller and Republican Adam
Gregg. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Tom Miller ………………………………………………. 55%
Adam Gregg …………………………………………… 36%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%
Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 38%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bruce Braley?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 42%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Joni Ernst?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 46%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%
Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Terry Branstad’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 55%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jack Hatch?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 37%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 32%
Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Chuck Grassley’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 59%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q16 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Tom
Harkin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 46%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q17 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 49%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 47%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 5%
Q18 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 9%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 17%
Moderate………………………………………………… 31%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 27%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 16%
Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q20 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 37%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 27%
Q21 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White …………………………………………………….. 92%
Other……………………………………………………… 8%
Q22 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older
than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 13%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 38%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 27%
Q23 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
