Raleigh, N.C. – The Florida Governor’s race is too close to call as the election enters its
final two days. Alex Sink leads Rick Scott by just a single point at 48-47. Scott has
gained over the last three weeks among conservative leaning voters who don’t like him
but have decided they don’t dislike him enough to let a Democrat win.

If Scott does manage to pull it out he’ll probably be the country’s most unpopular newly
elected Governor. Only 34% of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of him while
54% see him in a negative light. But Republican inclined voters are ultimately putting
politics over personality and that’s allowed Scott to make gains since our last poll.

The topline numbers in the Senate race are not all that interesting- Marco Rubio is headed for an easy victory as he has been ever since the primary with 47% to 30% for Charlie Crist and 21% Kendrick Meek.

The most interesting number within the poll, even though it’s not translating into extra
voters, is Meek’s favorability. In early October 35% of voters in the state said they had a positive opinion of Meek to 37% with a negative one. That’s shot up now to 42%
favorable and 32% unfavorable in just a few weeks time. Voters have responded
positively to how Meek has conducted himself through all the speculation about whether he would or would not bring his campaign to a halt.

Crist’s political future after what is likely to be a pretty crushing loss tomorrow looks
murky. Only 17% of voters in the state say they would definitely support him if he were
to seek political office again in the future. That’s not a particularly strong base of support and more than twice as many voters as that- 39%- say there’s no way they’d vote for Crist in a future campaign. 43% are noncommittal on Crist’s future.

“The big question in Florida is whether enough Democrats will come out to vote
tomorrow to make up for the large Republican advantage in early voting,” said Dean
Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It doesn’t matter how unpopular Rick Scott is if the Republicans are the only ones who vote.”

PPP surveyed 773 likely Florida voters on October 30th and 31st. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 The candidates for Governor are Democrat
Alex Sink and Republican Rick Scott. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
Alex Sink………………………………………………… 48%
Rick Scott……………………………………………….. 47%
Undecided………………………………………………. 5%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Alex Sink?
Favorable ………….. 44%
Unfavorable……….. 42%
Not sure ……………. 14%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Rick Scott?
Favorable ………….. 34%
Unfavorable……….. 54%
Not sure ……………. 12%

Q4 The candidates for Senate are Independent
Charlie Crist, Democrat Kendrick Meek, and
Republican Marco Rubio. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Charlie Crist ……………………………………………. 30%
Kendrick Meek ………………………………………… 21%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 47%
Undecided………………………………………………. 2%

Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Charlie Crist’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 41%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Kendrick Meek?
Favorable ………….. 42%
Unfavorable……….. 32%
Not sure ……………. 26%

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Marco Rubio?
Favorable ………….. 51%
Unfavorable……….. 41%
Not sure ……………. 8%

Q8 If the candidates for US Senate were just
Independent Charlie Crist and Republican
Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
Charlie Crist ……………………………………………. 44%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 48%
Undecided………………………………………………. 8%

Q9 If the candidates for US Senate were just
Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican
Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
Kendrick Meek ………………………………………… 42%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 51%
Undecided………………………………………………. 7%

Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%

Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
George LeMieux’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 11%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 60%

Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill
Nelson’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 37%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 28%

Q13 If the candidates for Governor had been
Republican Bill McCollum and Democrat Alex
Sink, who would you have voted for?
Bill McCollum………………………………………….. 45%
Alex Sink………………………………………………… 46%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%

Q14 If Charlie Crist ran for political office again in
the future would you definitely vote for him,
consider voting for him, or definitely not vote for
him?
Would definitely vote for him……………………… 17%
Would consider voting for him……………………. 43%
Would definitely not vote for him………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 1%

Q15 Who did you vote for President in 2008?
John McCain…………………………………………… 48%
Barack Obama………………………………………… 47%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 5%

Q16 Do you identify yourself as a liberal, moderate,
or conservative?
Liberal ……………………………………………………. 18%
Moderate………………………………………………… 41%
Conservative…………………………………………… 41%

Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 52%
Man……………………………………………………….. 48%

Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Republican, press 2. If you are an independent
or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 41%
Republican……………………………………………… 42%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 16%

Q19 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 14%
White …………………………………………………….. 68%
African-American …………………………………….. 14%
Other……………………………………………………… 4%

Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 38%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 30%

Q21 Have you already cast your ballot for this
year’s election?
Yes………………………………………………………… 41%
No …………………………………………………………. 59%