Raleigh, N.C. – Consistently running third or fourth in almost every state PPP has polled for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination despite the highest favorability rating and name recognition, Sarah Palin does no better in her home state. 62% of those who voted for or against her endorsee in the Senate race last Tuesday explicitly do not want her to run for president. While they like her by a 51-40 margin, that is less than in other states, and only 17% pledge to give her their support in a year and a half. Even those who have a favorable opinion of her are split, 39% for and 38% against, on whether she should run.

90% of those who do not like her oppose her candidacy.

The race in Alaska looks much like in the other states: four frontrunners neck-and-neck.

Mitt Romney leads with 20% to Palin and Mike Huckabee at 17%, Newt Gingrich at 16%, Ron Paul at 10%, “someone else” at 9%, and 11% undecided. The irony is that the

Tuesday electorate—which was very anti-establishment, gives more support to the libertarian Paul than in other states, and leaves room for others to enter with as many undecided or supporting unnamed others as support the leader—puts Romney on top.

Palin does get 22%, to Gingrich’s 23%, of the 53% who support the goals of the Tea

Party movement, but she comes in last, at 5%, of those who do not. She wins the 18%

who call themselves Tea Partiers with 27% to Gingrich’s 24%. She gets 20% to

Gingrich’s 21% among the 59% who call themselves conservatives, but 52% of them do not want her to run to begin with. As in other states, Palin actually does slightly better among men than women (or “Mama Grizzlies”). Romney wins both genders, but while

Palin places third among women behind Huckabee, she is tied for a close second with Huckabee among men.

“Fortunately for Sarah Palin, Alaska decides few convention delegates, and coming more than a month after Super Tuesday, she may not survive the race to be embarrassed on her home turf,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

PPP surveyed 805 Republican primary voters on August 27th and 28th. The margin of error is +/-3.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.

Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 If the Republican candidates for President in
2012 were Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee,
Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who
would you support?
Newt Gingrich …………………………………………. 16%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 17%
Sarah Palin …………………………………………….. 17%
Ron Paul ………………………………………………… 10%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 20%
Someone else…………………………………………. 9%
Undecided………………………………………………. 11%

Q2 Do you want Sarah Palin to run for President in
2012?
Yes………………………………………………………… 24%
No …………………………………………………………. 62%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Sarah Palin?
Favorable ………….. 51%
Unfavorable……….. 40%

Q4 Do you support or oppose the goals of the ‘Tea
Party’ movement?
Support ………………………………………………….. 53%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%

Q5 Do you personally identify as a member of the
‘Tea Party’ movement?
Yes………………………………………………………… 18%
No …………………………………………………………. 65%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%

Q6 Do you think the Republican Party is too liberal,
too conservative, or about right?
Too liberal ………………………………………………. 35%
Too conservative……………………………………… 24%
About right ……………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q7 Was Sarah Palin’s endorsement in the Senate
race very important, somewhat important, or
not important at all in who you decided to vote
for?
Very important…………………………………………. 14%
Somewhat important ………………………………… 20%
Not important at all…………………………………… 66%

Q8 If you are a liberal, press 1. If a moderate,
press 2. If a conservative, press 3.
Liberal ……………………………………………………. 4%
Moderate………………………………………………… 37%
Conservative…………………………………………… 59%

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 48%
Man……………………………………………………….. 52%

Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If older than
65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 6%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 27%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 46%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 22%