Raleigh, N.C. –
PPP’s newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama’s position improving slightly in
the state after his debate victory this week. He now leads Mitt Romney 51-47,
up from a 50-47 spread last week.
Colorado voters think Obama was the winner of Monday night’s debate by a
51/38 margin, and it seems to be having a positive impact on his approval
numbers. 51% of voters give him good marks to 47% who disapprove, up from a 49/49
spread last week. Romney’s favorability numbers are unchanged from a week ago
with 48% of voters rating him favorably and 49% unfavorably. Voters trust Obama
more on both the economy (50/46) and Libya (53/44) than they do Romney.
Obama has a 51/43 lead with independents. Beyond that his advantage is being
driven by large margins with women (54/44), Hispanics (65/34), and young voters
(60/35). Romney’s main areas of support are with men (49/47), whites (52/46),
and seniors (56/41).
When Gary Johnson’s included he gets just 2%. He’s polled at higher levels
over the course of the year but this is what tends to happen with third party
candidates as the election gets closer- their support evaporates. That’s why we
have tended not to include Johnson in most of our polling over the course of
the year. Johnson draws slightly more from Obama than Romney, leaving the
President ahead 49-46 when he’s in the mix.
“Barack Obama continues to be the favorite in Colorado,” said Dean Debnam,
President of Public Policy Polling. “His strong support with independents,
Hispanics, and young voters in the state may put him over the top.”
Colorado’s amendment to legalize marijuana continues to lead for passage
with 53% of voters saying they plan to support it to 43% who are opposed. This
plays out very much as a generational issue with voters under 30 favoring it
73/25, while seniors oppose it 38/55. Every age group except seniors supports
the amendment, and it has a 58/36 advantage with independents.
PPP surveyed 904
likely voters from October 23rd to 25th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-3.3%. This poll was not paid for
or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are
conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 51%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 2%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mitt Romney?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 48%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q3 The candidates for President are Democrat
Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 51%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 47%
Undecided………………………………………………. 2%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Gary Johnson?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 76%
Q5 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt
Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who
would you vote for?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 49%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 46%
Gary Johnson …………………………………………. 2%
Undecided………………………………………………. 2%
Q6 Amendment 64 is an amendment to the
Colorado constitution concerning marijuana,
and, in connection therewith, providing for the
regulation of marijuana; permitting a person
twenty-one years of age or older to consume or
possess limited amounts of marijuana;
providing for the licensing of cultivation
facilities, product manufacturing facilities,
testing facilities, and retail stores; permitting
local governments to regulate or prohibit such
facilities; requiring the general assembly to
enact an excise tax to be levied upon
wholesale sales of marijuana; requiring that the
first $40 million in revenue raised annually by
such tax be credited to the public school capital
construction assistance fund; and requiring the
general assembly to enact legislation
governing the cultivation, processing, and sale
of industrial hemp. If the election was today,
would you vote or against Amendment 64?
For ……………………. .53%
Against………………. .43%
Undecided………….. . 5%
Q7 In general, do you think marijuana usage
should be legal or illegal?
Legal …………………. .53%
Illegal ………………… .42%
Not sure …………….. . 6%
Q8 Who do you think won the final Presidential
debate: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 51%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q9 Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney
more on the issue of the economy?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q10 Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney
more on the issue of Libya?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 53%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 2%
Q11 If there was an election for the state legislature
today, would you vote Democratic or
Republican?
Democratic…………. .48%
Republican…………. .42%
Not sure …………….. .10%
Q12 Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not
at all excited about voting in the 2012
elections?
Very excited ……….. .64%
Somewhat excited . .27%
Not at all excited …. . 9%
Q13 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 9%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 31%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 26%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 15%
Q14 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 50%
Man……………………………………………………….. 50%
Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 37%
Republican……………………………………………… 36%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 26%
Q16 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If other, press 3.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 14%
White …………………………………………………….. 77%
Other……………………………………………………… 8%
Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 14%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 29%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 37%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 20%
