Raleigh, N.C. –
PPP’s newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama holding onto a small lead over
Mitt Romney, 50/47. That’s down from a 51/45 advantage before the first Presidential
debate and matches the smallest lead PPP has found for Obama in the state all
year.
Romney’s seen the same kind of improvement in his image in Colorado that he
has throughout the country this month. In September his favorability was a net
-6 spread with 45% of voters seeing him favorably to 51% with a negative
opinion. That’s improved by 5 points to -1 at 48/49. Meanwhile Obama’s seen a
slight decline in his numbers, with his approval dipping from positive ground
at 50/47 to break even at 49/49.
Obama’s continuing to lead thanks largely to a 51/42 advantage with
independents. There’s a large generational gap in Colorado with voters under 65
supporting Obama 51/46, but seniors preferring Romney 55/43. Romney has a
narrow advantage with white voters at 50/47, but Obama more than offsets that
with big leads among Hispanics (59/38) and other non-white voters (59/29).
Obama has the trust advantage on both the economy (50/46) and Libya (50/44),
lending more credence to the thought that Romney botched that issue during the
debate on Tuesday. When Gary Johnson is included in the poll he gets 4% and
pulls more from Romney than Obama, pushing the President’s lead up to 49/44.
“Barack Obama still has the lead in Colorado but it’s a tenuous one,” said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “The race is the closest it’s
been all year and it’s trended in Mitt Romney’s direction over the last month.”
Democrats lead the generic legislative ballot 47/42, including a 46/32 lead
with independent voters. John Hickenlooper continues to be one of the most
popular Governors in the country. 54% of voters approve of the job he’s doing
to 23% who disapprove, and he leads a generic Republican opponent 56/31.
PPP surveyed 1,000
likely voters from October 16th to 18th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-3.1%. This poll was not paid for
or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are
conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 49%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 2%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mitt Romney?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 48%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q3 The candidates for President are Democrat
Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 47%
Undecided………………………………………………. 3%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Gary Johnson?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 8%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 9%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 82%
Q5 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt
Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who
would you vote for?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 49%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 44%
Gary Johnson …………………………………………. 4%
Undecided………………………………………………. 3%
Q6 Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney
more on the issue of the economy?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q7 Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney
more on the issue of Libya?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 6%
Q8 Generally speaking, if there was an election for
the state legislature today, would you vote
Democratic or Republican?
Democratic…………. .47%
Republican…………. .42%
Not sure …………….. .11%
Q9 Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not
at all excited about voting in the 2012
elections?
Very excited ……….. .62%
Somewhat excited . .26%
Not at all excited …. .11%
Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Hickenlooper’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .54%
Disapprove…………. .23%
Not sure …………….. .23%
Q11 Generally speaking, if there was an election
today, would you vote for Democratic John
Hickenlooper or his Republican opponent?
John Hickenlooper . .56%
Republican
opponent……………..31%
Not sure …………….. .13%
Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark
Udall’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .36%
Disapprove…………. .29%
Not sure …………….. .35%
Q13 Generally speaking, if there was an election
today, would you vote for Democrat Mark Udall
or his Republican opponent?
Mark Udall………….. .47%
Republican
opponent……………..39%
Not sure …………….. .15%
Q14 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Michael Bennet’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .32%
Disapprove…………. .31%
Not sure …………….. .37%
Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 10%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 21%
Moderate………………………………………………… 30%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 26%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 14%
Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 38%
Republican……………………………………………… 35%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 27%
Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If other, press 3.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 14%
White …………………………………………………….. 80%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 18%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 35%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 17%
