Polls

Nixon towers above Spence in Missouri

| Tom Jensen


Header-poll-results
Raleigh,
N.C. –
The “Show Me”
state is ready to show its enthusiasm to vote on November 6.  A recent poll in the state shows that 85% of
Missouri voters are excited to vote in the November election.  61% of those surveyed identify as ‘very
excited’ to vote.  Missouri voters are
already showing their enthusiasm and support for their state Democratic
candidates.

Jay Nixon
takes the cake for Governor of Missouri in the upcoming election.  In the past six weeks Nixon has created an
even larger gap between himself and his Republican opponent, Dave Spence.  When polled in August, Nixon was ahead of
Spence by 9 points (46-37).  Now, if the
election were held today, Nixon is favored by 19 points (54-35).  Although Spence called Nixon the ‘Captain of
the Titanic’ during the September 21 debate, it’s apparent that Spence’s
campaign is clearly set to fail.

“It’s
actually looking possible now that Jay Nixon could match his 20 point margin of
victory from 2008,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He’s
really blown this race open over the last six weeks.”

Although
Missourians are definitive in their choice for Governor of the state,
favoritism for Lieutenant Governor is on the fence.  Opinions of both candidates have not changed
much over the past several weeks. 
Although Peter Kinder is still favored to win, he has lost some of his
support.  In a previous poll, we found
Kinder with 45% of the vote, yet now he is down 3 points to 42%.  Opinions of Susan Montee remain the same,
with Montee still taking 38% of the vote. 
With only a 4 point difference, the race for Lt. Governor will remain
tight until the election.

Chris Koster
has revved his engines over the past six weeks in his race for Attorney
General, gaining 11 points since our August poll.  Six weeks ago, Koster was only ahead of his
Republican opponent Ed Martin by 2% (41-39). 
Now, Koster takes 52% of the vote while Martin lags behind, only receiving
34%.

PPP surveyed 700 Missouri
voters from October 1 to 3. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.7%. This
poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.
PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jay
Nixon’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .54%
Disapprove…………. .29%
Not sure …………….. .18%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Dave Spence?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 25%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 45%

Q3 The candidates for Governor this fall are
Democrat Jay Nixon and Republican Dave
Spence. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Jay Nixon……………………………………………….. 54%
Dave Spence ………………………………………….. 35%
Undecided………………………………………………. 12%

Q4 The candidates for Lieutenant Governor this
fall are Democrat Susan Montee and
Republican Peter Kinder. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?
Susan Montee…………………………………………. 38%
Peter Kinder……………………………………………. 42%
Undecided………………………………………………. 20%

Q5 The candidates for Attorney General this fall
are Democrat Chris Koster and Republican Ed
Martin. If the election was today, who would
you vote for?
Chris Koster ……………………………………………. 52%
Ed Martin ……………………………………………….. 34%
Undecided………………………………………………. 15%

Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Roy
Blunt’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .37%
Disapprove…………. .36%
Not sure …………….. .27%

Q7 Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not
at all excited about voting in the 2012
elections?
Very excited ……………………………………………. 61%
Somewhat excited …………………………………… 24%
Not at all excited ……………………………………… 16%

Q8 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 14%
Moderate………………………………………………… 29%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 27%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 20%

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 47%
Man……………………………………………………….. 53%

Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 32%
Republican……………………………………………… 33%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 35%

Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 83%
African-American …………………………………….. 12%
Other……………………………………………………… 6%

Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 44%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 20%

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