Raleigh, N.C. –
When PPP last polled Louisiana in 2010, Bobby Jindal was one of the most
popular Governors in the country. 58% of voters approved of the job he was
doing to just 34% who disapproved. Over the last two and a half years though
there’s been a massive downward shift in Jindal’s popularity, and he is now one
of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Just 37% of voters now
think he’s doing a good job to 57% who are unhappy with him.
The decline in Jindal’s popularity cuts across party lines. Where he was at
81/13 with Republicans in August 2010, now it’s 59/35. Where he was at 67/22
with independents back then, now he’s at 41/54. And what was a higher than
normal amount of crossover support from Democrats at 33/58 is now 15/78. There
was a time when Jindal probably would have been seen as a slam dunk candidate
for Republicans against Mary Landrieu in 2014. But now he actually trails
Landrieu 49/41 in a hypothetical match up.
Trailing Landrieu hardly puts Jindal alone among Louisiana Republicans. She
leads all seven we tested against her, by margins ranging from 3 to 12 points.
Landrieu has a narrowly positive approval rating with 47% of voters giving her
good marks to 45% who disapprove. That’s up from 41/53 in August of 2010…her
numbers are seeing some recovery from their post Obamacare decline.
The Republican who comes closest to Landrieu is Lieutenant Governor Jay
Dardenne, who trails just 46/43. Dardenne has a 41/23 favorability rating
statewide and is seen positively by both Democrats (43/22) and Republicans
(42/25). We also tested a number of current or former Republicans members of
Congress against Landrieu. Charlie Boustany comes the closest with a 6 point
deficit at 48/42. He’s followed by Jeff Landry who trails 48/39, Steve Scalise
who trails 48/38 and Bill Cassidy who trails 50/40, and John Fleming who trails
50/38.
“Most of the Republicans have low name recognition so it will get closer,”
said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But Mary Landrieu’s near
50% and in a much stronger position for reelection probably than most people
would have expected.”
PPP surveyed 603 Louisiana
voters from February 8th to 12th. The margin of error is +/-4%. This poll was not
paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys
are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mary
Landrieu’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .47%
Disapprove…………. .45%
Not sure …………….. . 8%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Charlie Boustany?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 22%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 53%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bill Cassidy?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 19%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 24%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 57%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jay Dardenne?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 41%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 23%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 35%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of John Fleming?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 20%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 21%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 58%
Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Bobby Jindal’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .37%
Disapprove…………. .57%
Not sure …………….. . 6%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jeff Landry?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 29%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 27%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 44%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Steve Scalise?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 21%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 24%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican
Charlie Boustany, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 48%
Charlie Boustany …………………………………….. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill
Cassidy, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 50%
Bill Cassidy …………………………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q11 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Jay
Dardenne, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 46%
Jay Dardenne …………………………………………. 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q12 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican John
Fleming, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 50%
John Fleming ………………………………………….. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q13 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican
Bobby Jindal, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 49%
Bobby Jindal …………………………………………… 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q14 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Jeff
Landry, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 48%
Jeff Landry……………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q15 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican
Steve Scalise, who would you vote for?
Mary Landrieu…………………………………………. 48%
Steve Scalise………………………………………….. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q16 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 40%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 54%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 5%
Q17 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 12%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 12%
Moderate………………………………………………… 28%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 22%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 26%
Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%
Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 43%
Republican……………………………………………… 39%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 17%
Q20 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 70%
African-American …………………………………….. 25%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%
Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%