Raleigh, N.C. – Democratic
Governor Maggie Hassan led possible Republican challengers by double digits on
our poll this weekend. Her approval rating, 51-33, hasn’t changed much since we
polled in April: +19 then, +18 now. 84% of Democrats, 17% of Republicans and
50% of Independents say they approve of the job she’s done.
Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen leads in hypothetical match-ups as well.
Against Charlie Bass, Scott Brown, Dan Innis, Jim Rubens, Bob Smith, and Karen
Testerman, she led by margins of four to 22 points each. The closest opponent is
Scott Brown with 44% to her 48%. Shaheen’s approval rating was 49-42.
Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte has a 41-45 approval rating. Ayotte and
Hassan are basically tied in a match-up for the 2016 Senate election with 45%
and 44% respectively.
78% of respondents support requiring background checks on individuals buying
guns at gun shows, including 85% of women as well as 93% of Democrats, 66% of
Republicans, and 74% of Independents. 46% of voters say Ayotte’s vote against
background checks for guns makes them less likely to vote for her.
More than half of voters support the state’s legalization of same-sex marriage,
including 25% of Republicans and 57% of Independents. 61% said gay marriage
hasn’t had any impact on their life, including two-thirds of Republican and
Independent voters. 22% said its impact has been positive, while 17% said
negative.
On the hypothetical legislative ballot, Democrats have 44% and Republicans 43%.
President Barack Obama’s approval rating was 46-50, down from 52-46 in April.
“Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen look like favorites for reelection,” said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “The fact that the strongest
possible candidate for New Hampshire Republicans lives in Massachusetts doesn’t
speak well for the party bench there.”
PPP surveyed 1,038 New
Hampshire voters between September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error for the
survey is +/- 3.0%. This poll was not authorized or paid for by any campaign or
political organization. PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone
interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 46%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .49%
Disapprove…………. .42%
Not sure …………….. . 8%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Charlie Bass?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 28%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Scott Brown?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 40%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Dan Innis?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 4%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 20%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 77%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jim Rubens?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 8%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 21%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 71%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bob Smith?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 18%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 50%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Karen Testerman?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 6%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 22%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 73%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Charlie Bass, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 51%
Charlie Bass …………………………………………… 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Scott Brown, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 48%
Scott Brown ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q11 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Dan Innis, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 52%
Dan Innis………………………………………………… 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q12 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Jim Rubens, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 50%
Jim Rubens…………………………………………….. 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q13 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Bob Smith, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 51%
Bob Smith ………………………………………………. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q14 If the candidates for Senate next year were
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Karen Testerman, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen……………………………………… 50%
Karen Testerman …………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Maggie Hassan’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .51%
Disapprove…………. .33%
Not sure …………….. .17%
Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Brad Cook?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 7%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 80%
Q17 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of George Lambert?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 5%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 17%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 78%
Q18 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Chuck Morse?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 9%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 73%
Q19 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Andy Sanborn?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 21%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 69%
Q20 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Brad Cook, who would you vote for?
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 49%
Brad Cook………………………………………………. 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q21 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
George Lambert, who would you vote for?
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 49%
George Lambert………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q22 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Chuck Morse, who would you vote for?
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 49%
Chuck Morse…………………………………………… 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q23 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Andy Sanborn, who would you vote for?
Maggie Hassan……………………………………….. 49%
Andy Sanborn…………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q24 Generally speaking, if there was an election for
the state legislature today, would you vote for
the Democratic or Republican candidate from
your district?
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 44%
Republican……………………………………………… 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q25 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly
Ayotte’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .41%
Disapprove…………. .45%
Not sure …………….. .14%
Q26 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were
Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Maggie
Hassan, who would you vote for?
Kelly Ayotte………… .45%
Maggie Hassan…… .44%
Not sure …………….. .11%
Q27 Would you support or oppose requiring
background checks on individuals who
purchase guns at gun shows?
Support ……………… .78%
Oppose ……………… .15%
Not sure …………….. . 7%
Q28 Does Kelly Ayotte’s vote against requiring
background checks make you more likely to
support her for re-election, less likely, or does it
not make a difference?
More likely………….. .18%
Less likely ………….. .46%
Doesn’t make a
difference …………….34%
Not sure …………….. . 2%
Q29 Has the legalization of gay marriage in New
Hampshire had a positive or negative impact
on your life, or has it not had any impact at all?
Positive impact……. .22%
Negative impact ….. .17%
No impact at all …… .61%
Q30 Do you think same-sex marriage should be
allowed, or not?
It should be allowed 55%
It should not ……….. .32%
Not sure …………….. .13%
Q31 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 52%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 44%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 4%
Q32 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 12%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 33%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 21%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 15%
Q33 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 54%
Man……………………………………………………….. 46%
Q34 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 31%
Republican……………………………………………… 30%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 39%
Q35 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White …………………………………………………….. 91%
Other……………………………………………………… 9%
Q36 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 47%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 23%
