Polls

Dayton leads potential opponents for reelection

| Tom Jensen


Header-poll-results
Raleigh,
N.C.-
PPP’s newest Minnesota poll finds Governor Mark Dayton with a 49% approval
rating to 47% disapproval and 4% not sure. Potential Republican challenger Kurt
Daudt has a 6% approval rating to 15% disapproval. Tom Emmer elicits positive
ratings from 20% of voters and negative ones from 37%. David Hann has a 4%
favorable rating and 16% unfavorable rating. Scott Honour has a 3% favorability
rating to 11% unfavorable. Jeff Johnson has a positive rating of 6% and
negative rating of 13%. Julie Rosen has ratings of 9% favorable and 13%
unfavorable. Dave Thompson’s favorability rating is 8% and a 13% unfavorable
rating. 10% like Kurt Zellers, and 25% have a negative opinion of him.

Governor
Dayton would beat Kurt Daudt 51% to 39%.  Dayton leads Tom Emmer 52% to 39%. He has a
51% to 36% advantage over David Hann. Dayton leads Scott Honour 52%-34%. He
also has Jeff Johnson by 52%-34%. Voters favor Dayton over Julie Rosen 51%-34%.
Dayton leads Dave Thompson 51%-35%. He leads Kurt Zellers 53%-35%.

“Mark
Dayton’s approval numbers have declined over the course of this legislative
session,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But he still
looks like a pretty clear favorite over any of the Republicans contemplating
the race.”

Voters
support the legalization of same-sex marriage by a 49%-45% margin. Only 36%
approve of the job DFL legislators are doing to 49% who disapprove. Minnesotans
dislike Republican legislators even more, at 23% positive to 59% negative. The
DFL leads the Republicans on the general legislative ballot by 47% to 41%.

Minnesotans
favor paying back the school shift as soon as possible by a margin of 50% to
13%. However, 44% think not raising taxes is more important than quickly paying
back the school shift. 50% of Minnesota voters oppose allowing in-home child
care providers to unionize, to only 31% who support letting them do so. A
majority, 54%, support raising the minimum wage to $9.50 per hour, compared to
37% who are against that proposal.

PPP surveyed 712 Minnesota
voters from May 17-19, 2013. The margin of error was +/- 3.7%. This poll was
not authorized or paid for by any campaign or political organization. PPP’s
surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Mark Dayton’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .49%
Disapprove…………. .47%
Not sure …………….. . 4%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Kurt Daudt?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 6%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 15%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 80%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tom Emmer?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 20%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 43%

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of David Hann?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 4%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 16%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 79%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Scott Honour?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 3%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 11%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 86%

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jeff Johnson?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 6%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 81%

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Julie Rosen?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 9%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 79%

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Dave Thompson?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 8%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 79%

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Kurt Zellers?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 65%

Q10 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Kurt
Daudt, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 51%
Kurt Daudt………………………………………………. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Q11 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Tom
Emmer, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 52%
Tom Emmer ……………………………………………. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Q12 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican David
Hann, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 51%
David Hann…………………………………………….. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q13 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Scott
Honour, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 52%
Scott Honour…………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%

Q14 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Jeff
Johnson, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 52%
Jeff Johnson …………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q15 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Julie
Rosen, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 51%
Julie Rosen…………………………………………….. 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%

Q16 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Dave
Thompson, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 51%
Dave Thompson ……………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q17 If the candidates for Governor next year were
Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Kurt
Zellers, who would you vote for?
Mark Dayton …………………………………………… 53%
Kurt Zellers …………………………………………….. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q18 Do you support or oppose the legalization of
same-sex marriage in Minnesota this week?
Support ………………………………………………….. 49%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%

Q19 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
DFL members of the legislature are doing?
Approve …………….. .36%
Disapprove…………. .49%
Not sure …………….. .15%

Q20 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
Republican members of the legislature are
doing?
Approve …………….. .23%
Disapprove…………. .59%
Not sure …………….. .18%

Q21 If there was an election for the legislature
today, do you think you would vote for the DFL
or Republican candidate from your district?
DFL…………………… .47%
Republican…………. .41%
Not sure …………….. .12%

Q22 Do you support or oppose paying back the
school shift as soon as possible?
Support ………………………………………………….. 50%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%

Q23 Which do you think is more important: paying
back the school shift as soon as possible or not
raising taxes?
Paying back the school shift ASAP…………….. 43%
Not raising taxes ……………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q24 Do you support or oppose allowing in-home
child care providers to unionize?
Support ………………………………………………….. 31%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%

Q25 Would you support or oppose raising the
minimum wage to $9.50 per hour?
Support ………………………………………………….. 54%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Q26 Do you support or oppose using money from
the cigarette tax to pay for the new Vikings
Stadium?
Support ………………………………………………….. 35%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q27 Do you think Sunday liquor sales should be
allowed in Minnesota, or not?
Think it should be allowed…………………………. 62%
Don’t think it should………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q28 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 51%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 43%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%

Q29 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 10%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 22%
Moderate………………………………………………… 30%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 20%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 18%

Q30 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%

Q31 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 38%
Republican……………………………………………… 27%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 35%

Q32 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2
White …………………………………………………….. 92%
Other……………………………………………………… 8%

Q33 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 46%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 18%

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