Raleigh, N.C. – After tying at 43% the last time PPP polled Colorado, Michael Bennet now inches ahead of Jane Norton in his re-election bid. Meanwhile, Democratic challenger Andrew Romanoff has receded against Norton and the other Republicans.
Bennet is up 44-41 on Norton and 45-39 on Republican contender Ken Buck, the latter essentially unchanged from March’s 46-40. Against Norton, Bennet has improved to 42-40 with independents, from 35-44. But against Buck, Bennet is at 39-40, from 41-37.
Romanoff has bumped his favorability rating from 28-26 to 31-26 in two months by going from 20-30 among independents to 32-26, but he has lost ground to both Norton and Buck. He is up on Norton only 43-41 after leading 44-39 in March. 10% fewer independents are undecided, with 5% going to each candidate. Buck is down just 41-38 after losing 44-36 in the last poll. In that matchup, Romanoff is now down 34-36 with independents (35-32 in March), and he now pulls only 6% of Republicans (versus 10%).
Bennet’s job approval is up slightly to 34-44, versus 32-46 in March. He is still weak with his own party, at 54-20 (57-20 in the last poll), but he has picked up eight points with both Republicans, from 9-73 to 13-69, and independents, from 25-48 to 32-47.
Norton’s favorability has declined a little, from 25-35 to 20-32. She has dropped from a 42% positive mark with the GOP to 34%, and many more now have no opinion on her.
“The political climate is starting to look better for Democrats and Michael Bennet’s improved standing is a clear example of that,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Jane Norton, at least so far, is not looking like a particularly strong opponent.”
PPP will release new numbers for Governor tomorrow.
PPP surveyed 1,060 Colorado voters from May 14th to 16th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Barack
Obama’s job performance? If you approve,
press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you’re
not sure, press 3.
Approve …………………………………………………. 45%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 50%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Do you support or oppose President Obama’s
health care plan, or do you not have an
opinion? If you support it, press 1. If you
oppose it, press 2. If you don’t have an opinion,
press 3.
Support ………………………………………………….. 42%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 50%
No Opinion……………………………………………… 8%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark
Udall’s job performance? If you approve, press
1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you’re not
sure, press 3.
Approve …………………………………………………. 38%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 41%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 21%
Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Michael Bennet’s job performance? If you
approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2.
If you’re not sure, press 3.
Approve …………………………………………………. 34%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 44%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 22%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Jane Norton? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
Favorable……………………………………………….. 20%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 32%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 48%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Ken Buck? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
Favorable ………….. 19%
Unfavorable……….. 24%
Not Sure……………. 58%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tom Wiens? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
Favorable……………………………………………….. 8%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 16%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 76%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Andrew Romanoff? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
Favorable ………….. 31%
Unfavorable……….. 26%
Not Sure……………. 44%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican
Jane Norton, who would you vote for? If
Michael Bennet, press 1. If Jane Norton, press
2. If you’re undecided, press 3.
Bennet ……………….. 44%
Norton………………… 41%
Undecided…………… 14%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Ken
Buck, who would you vote for? If Michael
Bennet, press 1. If Ken Buck, press 2. If
you’re undecided, press 3.
Bennet …………………………………………………… 45%
Buck………………………………………………………. 39%
Undecided………………………………………………. 16%
Q11 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican
Tom Wiens, who would you vote for? If
Michael Bennet, press 1. If Tom Wiens, press
2. If you’re undecided, press 3.
Bennet …………………………………………………… 44%
Wiens…………………………………………………….. 36%
Undecided………………………………………………. 20%
Q12 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Andrew Romanoff and Republican
Jane Norton, who would you vote for? If
Andrew Romanoff, press 1. If Jane Norton,
press 2. If you’re undecided, press 3.
Romanoff ……………………………………………….. 43%
Norton……………………………………………………. 41%
Undecided………………………………………………. 16%
Q13 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Andrew Romanoff and Republican
Ken Buck, who would you vote for? If Andrew
Romanoff, press 1. If Ken Buck, press 2. If
you’re undecided, press 3.
Romanoff ……………………………………………….. 41%
Buck………………………………………………………. 38%
Undecided………………………………………………. 21%
Q14 If the candidates for Senate this fall were
Democrat Andrew Romanoff and Republican
Tom Wiens, who would you vote for? If
Andrew Romanoff, press 1. If Tom Wiens,
press 2. If you’re undecided, press 3.
Romanoff ……………………………………………….. 41%
Wiens…………………………………………………….. 37%
Undecided………………………………………………. 22%
Q15 Who did you vote for President last year? If
John McCain, press 1. If Barack Obama,
press 2. If someone else or you don’t
remember, press 3.
McCain…………………………………………………… 45%
Obama…………………………………………………… 47%
Someone Else/Don’t Remember………………… 8%
Q16 If you are a liberal, press 1. If a moderate,
press 2. If a conservative, press 3.
Liberal ……………………………………………………. 20%
Moderate………………………………………………… 44%
Conservative…………………………………………… 37%
Q17 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 50%
Man……………………………………………………….. 50%
Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a
Republican, press 2. If you are an independent
or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 37%
Republican……………………………………………… 33%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 31%
Q19 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 14%
White …………………………………………………….. 79%
African American …………………………………….. 3%
Other……………………………………………………… 4%
Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If
you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65,
press 3. If older, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 8%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 25%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 22%
