Polls

A quarter of Republicans want to secede, half think election stolen

| Tom Jensen


Header-poll-results
Raleigh, N.C. –
PPP’s first post election national poll finds that Republicans are
taking the results pretty hard…and also declining in numbers.

49% of GOP voters nationally say they think that ACORN stole the election for President Obama. We found
that 52% of Republicans thought that ACORN stole the 2008 election for
Obama, so this is a modest decline, but perhaps smaller than might have
been expected given that ACORN doesn’t exist anymore.

Some GOP voters are so unhappy with the outcome that they no longer
care to be a part of the United States. 25% of Republicans say they
would like their state to secede from the union compared to 56% who want
to stay and 19% who aren’t sure.

One reason that such a high percentage of Republicans are holding
what could be seen as extreme views is that their numbers are declining.
Our final poll before the election, which hit the final outcome almost
on the head, found 39% of voters identifying themselves as Democrats and
37% as Republicans. Since the election we’ve seen a 5 point increase in
Democratic identification to 44%, and a 5 point decrease in Republican
identification to 32%.

Grover Norquist is largely unknown nationally, and among voters who
are familiar with him he is generally disliked. Only 15% have a
favorable opinion of him to 37% with a negative one, with 48% not
holding an opinion one way or the other. Even among Republicans just 18%
see him positively, while 23% have an unfavorable view. Only 23% of
voters think it’s important for politicians to follow Norquist’s tax
pledge to 39% who think it’s not important and 38% who don’t have an
opinion.

President Obama’s received a modest post election bump in his
approval rating. 50% of voters now approve of him to 47% who disapprove,
up a net 4 points from 48/49 on our final post election poll. Voters
trust Obama over Congressional Republicans on the issue of Libya by a
48/45 margin, suggesting that their attacks on the issue aren’t getting
much traction.

As much of an obsession as Bowles/Simpson can be for the DC pundit
class, most Americans don’t have an opinion about it. 23% support it,
16% oppose it, and 60% say they don’t have a take one way or the other.

The 39% of Americans with an opinion about Bowles/Simpson is only
slightly higher than the 25% with one about Panetta/Burns, a mythical
Clinton Chief of Staff/former western Republican Senator combo we
conceived of to test how many people would say they had an opinion even
about something that doesn’t exist.

Bowles/Simpson does have bipartisan support from the small swath of
Americans with an opinion about it. Republicans support it 26/18,
Democrats favor it 21/14, and independents are for it by a 24/18 margin.
Panetta/Burns doesn’t fare as well with 8% support and 17% opposition.

David Petraeus has a 44/30 favorability rating nationally and is
seen much more favorably by Democrats (47/25) at this point than
Republicans  (38/36).

PPP surveyed 700 voters from November 30th to December 2nd. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.7%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 50%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%

Q2 Do you trust Barack Obama or Congressional
Republicans more when it comes to the
situation in Libya?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 48%
Congressional Republicans ………………………. 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of David Petraeus?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 44%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 26%

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Grover Norquist?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 15%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 48%

Q5 Do you think it’s important for politicians to
abide by Grover Norquist’s tax pledge, or not?
Important………………………………………………… 23%
Not important ………………………………………….. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%

Q6 Do you support or oppose the Bowles-Simpson
plan?
Support ………………………………………………….. 23%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 16%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 60%

Q7 Do you support or oppose the Panetta-Burns
plan?
Support ………………………………………………….. 8%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 17%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 75%

Q8 Do you think that Barack Obama legitimately
won the Presidential election this year, or do
you think that ACORN stole it for him?
Obama legitimately won……………………………. 66%
ACORN stole it for him……………………………… 24%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Q9 Do you think Democrats engaged in voter fraud
to ensure that Barack Obama won the election,
or not?
Democrats engaged in voter fraud……………… 30%
They did not ……………………………………………. 59%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%

Q10 Would you support or oppose your state
seceding from the union because of Barack
Obama’s re-election?
Support ………………………………………………….. 18%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 68%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Gallup poll?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 32%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 29%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Nate Silver?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 12%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 10%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 77%

Q13 Who do you trust more: the Gallup poll or Nate
Silver?
Gallup poll………………………………………………. 31%
Nate Silver ……………………………………………… 14%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%

Q14 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 51%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 42%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 8%

Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 18%
Moderate………………………………………………… 32%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 24%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 15%

Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 52%
Man……………………………………………………….. 48%

Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 44%
Republican……………………………………………… 32%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 24%

Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 13%
White …………………………………………………….. 67%
African-American …………………………………….. 12%
Other……………………………………………………… 8%

Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 15%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 40%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%

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