Raleigh, N.C. – New PPP polls in
8 key North Carolina State Senate districts find that the political landscape
has shifted in such a way that Democrats have a lot more opportunities to eat
into the Republican majority next year than could have ever been imagined even
six months ago.
This is a product of three things:
1)
The unpopularity of the Republican legislature itself
2)
The swift decline in Pat McCrory’s approval numbers
even in districts that he won overwhelmingly last year
3)
The incumbent Republican state senators in these
districts are a combination of unknown and unpopular- none of them have
established credibility with their constituents.
Based on our polling we find 2 districts where Democrats have a clear
advantage for next year, and another 6 that can be classified as toss ups based
on what we’re seeing right now.
“Pat McCrory’s strength at the top of the ticket helped a lot of Republican
legislative candidates over the line,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public
Policy Polling. “But now he’s a liability even in places where he was a big
asset last year, and that’s giving Democrats a lot of places where they can
play offense in 2014.”
Here’s the run down of the places where Democrats have a clear edge:
-Senate District 9 provides the best pick up opportunity for Democrats at
this point. Thom Goolsby is unusually well known for a State Senator and also
unusually disliked. As a result he trails a generic Democratic opponent by 12
points:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
31/57 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
34/53 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +18 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
30/52 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Democrat +12 |
-Senate District 19 is the other where Democrats have a clear advantage for
next year. It’s the only Republican held State Senate district that Barack
Obama won last year, and it likely would have gone Democratic last fall if the
party had had a stronger candidate. Even after 3 years in the Senate Wesley
Meredith is mostly undefined, with 42% of voters holding no opinion about him.
He trails a generic Democrat by 7 points:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
34/50 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
40/50 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +4 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
27/31 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Democrat +7 |
And
here’s a rundown of the six districts that are looking like toss ups right now:
-Senate
District 1 provided the closest race in the state last fall, and Bill Cook’s
position has been further weakened after pulling out a narrow victory. Although
a plurality of voters don’t have an opinion about him, more than 60% of those
who do have one disapprove of his performance. Add to that Pat McCrory being
even more unpopular in this district than he is statewide, and Cook trails a
generic Democrat by a point:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
35/48 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
32/50 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +12 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
22/37 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Democrat +1 |
_______________________________________________
-SD 12
doesn’t seem like the kind of place where Democrats should be able to compete.
Pat McCrory won the district by 24 points last year and Mitt Romney took it by
19. But McCrory’s approval is under water now, and Ronald Rabin is both unknown
(50% of voters have no opinion about him) and unpopular (among those who do
have one his approval spread in 20/30). A match up with a generic Democrat
comes out tied.
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
40/47 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
42/46 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +24 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
20/30 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Tie |
-SD 15’s
location in Wake County makes it a place where voters are unusually familiar
with what’s going on in the legislature, and it’s reflected in the favorability
numbers for the Republicans in the General Assembly which stand at 33/57. This
is also another district where Pat McCrory won overwhelmingly last fall but is
now very unpopular. The up shot of it all is Neal Hunt holds only a small lead
over a generic Democratic opponent:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
33/57 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
40/53 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +19 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
24/35 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Hunt +3 |
___________________________________________________
-SD 17,
Tamara Barringer’s district, provides a clear example of how newer GOP
legislators who aren’t that well known are becoming defined by the unpopularity
of the legislature in general. 65% of voters in her district have no opinion
about her, and she fares very poorly with the few who do (10% approve, 25%
disapprove). She hasn’t done much to define herself and the fact that she
trails a generic Democrat by 4 points suggests she’s instead being defined by
the 34/54 favorability rating of the Republicans in the legislature:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
34/54 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
38/51 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +19 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
10/25 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
D+4 |
_____________________________________________________
-SD 18
is another Wake County based district where the incumbent is largely undefined
(54% of voters have no opinion about Chad Barefoot), the Republicans in the
legislature are extra unpopular (33/54 favorability), and the generic ballot is
essentially a toss up with the Democrat leading by a point:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
33/54 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
40/52 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +14 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
15/31 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
D+1 |
-SD 50
provides an opportunity in that McCrory (31/55 approval), the Republicans in
the legislature (36/52 favorability), and the incumbent Senator Jim Davis
(27/40 approval) are all very unpopular. Despite all that though, Davis still
leads a generic Democratic opponent by a point. That’s a reminder that even in
areas where voters are really unhappy with the Republicans it’s still going to
require strong Democratic candidates to take them out:
|
Favorability of Republicans in Legislature |
36/52 |
|
McCrory’s Approval |
31/55 |
|
2012 Governor Result in District |
McCrory +22 |
|
Incumbent Senator Approval |
27/40 |
|
Result against Generic Democrat |
Davis +1 |
PPP surveyed:
-615 voters in SD 1 on September 9th
and 10th with a margin of error of +/-4.0%
-590 voters in SD 9 on September 5th
and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.0%
-690 voters in SD 12 from September 13th
to 15th with a margin of error of +/-3.7%
-525 voters in SD 15 from September 14th
to 16th with a margin of error of +/-4.3%
-500 voters in SD 17 on September 5th
and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.4%
-600 voters in SD 18 from September 12th
to 15th with a margin of error of +/-4.0%
-515 voters in SD 19 on September 9th
and 10th with a margin of error of +/-4.3%
-764 voters in SD 50 on September 5th
and 6th with a margin of error of +/-3.6%
These polls were not authorized or paid for
by any campaign or political organization. PPP’s surveys are conducted through
automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
SD1 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 39%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 58%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 32%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Bill Cook’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 22%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 41%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Bill Cook or his Democratic
opponent?
Bill Cook…………………………………………………. 42%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 25%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 51%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 23%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 37%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 35%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 48%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 42%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 52%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 55%
Man……………………………………………………….. 45%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 42%
Republican……………………………………………… 31%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 26%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 76%
African-American …………………………………….. 17%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 14%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 18%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 35%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 33%
SD9 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 44%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 34%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Thom Goolsby’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 30%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 52%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, who would you vote for:
Republican Thom Goolsby or his Democratic
opponent?
Thom Goolsby ………………………………………… 38%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 24%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 58%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 33%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 31%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 57%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 44%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 50%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 50%
Man……………………………………………………….. 50%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 37%
Republican……………………………………………… 35%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 28%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 82%
African-American …………………………………….. 9%
Other……………………………………………………… 9%
Q12 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 26%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 39%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 35%
SD12 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 38%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 57%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 42%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Ronald Rabin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 20%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 50%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Ronald Rabin or his Democratic
opponent?
Ronald Rabin ………………………………………….. 41%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 27%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 31%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 51%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 40%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 39%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 55%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 49%
Man……………………………………………………….. 51%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 43%
Republican……………………………………………… 36%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 21%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 74%
African-American …………………………………….. 21%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 26%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 42%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 20%
SD15 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 42%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 6%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Neal Hunt’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 24%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 41%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Neal Hunt or his Democratic
opponent?
Neal Hunt……………………………………………….. 45%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 27%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 59%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 35%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 33%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 57%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 45%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 48%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 7%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 57%
Man……………………………………………………….. 43%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 35%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 30%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 83%
African-American …………………………………….. 9%
Other……………………………………………………… 8%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 15%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 27%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 36%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 22%
SD17 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 42%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 51%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 38%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 51%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Tamara Barringer’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 10%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 64%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, who would you vote for
Republican Tamara Barringer or her
Democratic opponent?
Tamara Barringer …………………………………….. 39%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 28%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 53%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 37%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 34%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 54%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 45%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 50%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 5%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 55%
Man……………………………………………………….. 45%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 31%
Republican……………………………………………… 37%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 32%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 79%
African-American …………………………………….. 7%
Other……………………………………………………… 14%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 8%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 41%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%
SD18 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 38%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 58%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 52%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Chad Barefoot’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 15%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 54%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Chad Barefoot or his Democratic
opponent?
Chad Barefoot…………………………………………. 40%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 27%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 34%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 51%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 33%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 54%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 44%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 51%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 5%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 56%
Man……………………………………………………….. 44%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 46%
Republican……………………………………………… 36%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 17%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 75%
African-American …………………………………….. 19%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%
Q12 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 36%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 38%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 26%
SD19 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 43%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 52%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Wesley Meredith’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 27%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 42%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Wesley Meredith or his Democratic
opponent?
Wesley Meredith ……………………………………… 37%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 23%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 27%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 39%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 34%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 50%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 44%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 49%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 7%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 46%
Republican……………………………………………… 32%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 22%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 66%
African-American …………………………………….. 27%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 28%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 32%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 28%
SD50 Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 34%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 61%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat
McCrory’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 31%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of State Senator
Jim Davis’ job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 27%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 33%
Q4 Generally speaking, if the election for State
Senate was today, would you vote for
Republican Jim Davis or his Democratic
opponent?
Jim Davis ……………………………………………….. 44%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
General Assembly is doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 21%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 59%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Democrats in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 35%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the Republicans in the North Carolina
legislature?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 36%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 52%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q8 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 38%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 56%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 52%
Man……………………………………………………….. 48%
Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 42%
Republican……………………………………………… 36%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 22%
Q11 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White …………………………………………………….. 90%
Other……………………………………………………… 10%
Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 18%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 37%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 35%
