Raleigh, N.C. – Debbie Stabenow won the Michigan Senate race by over 20 points
this fall, and Carl Levin could be headed for a similar outcome if he
decides to run for another term in 2014.
PPP’s newest poll finds Levin leading 5 potential Republican
opponents by anywhere from 18-22 points for reelection. He’s up 52/34 on
Congresswoman Candice Miller, 53/32 on Congressman Justin Amash, 53/31
on State Senator Roger Kahn, 54/32 on Attorney General Bill Schuette,
and 55/31 on Congressman Mike Rogers.
None of those Republicans are particularly well known statewide.
Miller has 57% name recognition but after her it’s 40% for Schuette, 35%
for Rogers, 28% for Amash, and only 15% for Kahn. It is likely these
match ups would become closer if any of them ever came to fruition
because so many of the undecideds are Republicans, but at any rate Levin
is not looking particularly vulnerable.
In the wake of her surprisingly dominant reelection, Debbie Stabenow
is posting the best approval numbers we’ve ever found for her. 55% of
voters approve of the job she’s doing to 36% who disapprove of her.
She’s at 53/37 with independents and earns 18% approval even from
Republican voters.
Barack Obama’s approval numbers in Michigan mirror the results of the
election in the state pretty closely- 53% of voters approve of him to
44% who disapprove.
Michigan fans outnumber Michigan State ones 44/30. That’s up for the
Maize and Blue from a 41/31 spread in May- perhaps a reflection of
folks getting back on the bandwagon given their top 5 basketball team
and the end of MSU’s football winning streak this fall.
50% of Michigan voters identify themselves as Lions fans t0 9% for
the Packers, 8% for the Browns, 7% for the Bears, 5% for the Steelers,
3% for the Cowboys, and 1% each for the Bengals and Colts. 50% of folks
in Michigan calling themselves Lions fan is well under the 63% of folks
in Illinois who id as Bears fans…but of course the Bears have actually
won a championship in the last 50 years.
PPP surveyed 650 Michigan voters from December 13th to 16th. The margin of error is +/-3.8%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 53%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Carl
Levin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 46%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Justin Amash?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 11%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 17%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 72%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Roger Kahn?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 5%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 10%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 85%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Candice Miller?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 34%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 23%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 43%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mike Rogers?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 17%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 65%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bill Schuette?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 18%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 22%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 60%
Q8 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Carl Levin and Republican Justin
Amash, who would you vote for?
Carl Levin……………………………………………….. 53%
Justin Amash ………………………………………….. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Carl Levin and Republican Roger
Kahn, who would you vote for?
Carl Levin……………………………………………….. 53%
Roger Kahn…………………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Carl Levin and Republican Candice
Miller, who would you vote for?
Carl Levin……………………………………………….. 52%
Candice Miller …………………………………………. 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q11 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Carl Levin and Republican Mike
Rogers, who would you vote for?
Carl Levin……………………………………………….. 55%
Mike Rogers……………………………………………. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q12 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Carl Levin and Republican Bill
Schuette, who would you vote for?
Carl Levin……………………………………………….. 54%
Bill Schuette……………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Debbie Stabenow’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 55%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%
Q14 Do you consider yourself to be more of a
Michigan or Michigan State fan?
Michigan ………………………………………………… 44%
Michigan State ………………………………………… 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q15 Is your favorite NFL team the Chicago Bears,
Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas
Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers,
Indianapolis Colts, or Pittsburgh Steelers?
Bears …………………………………………………….. 7%
Bengals………………………………………………….. 1%
Browns…………………………………………………… 8%
Cowboys………………………………………………… 3%
Lions ……………………………………………………… 50%
Packers………………………………………………….. 9%
Colts ……………………………………………………… 1%
Steelers………………………………………………….. 5%
Someone else/Not sure ……………………………. 16%
Q16 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 29%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 24%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 17%
Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 54%
Man……………………………………………………….. 46%
Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 38%
Republican……………………………………………… 28%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 34%
Q19 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 79%
African-American …………………………………….. 14%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45 years old, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If
you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 15%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 41%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 20%
