Polls

Perry’s future looks bleak

| Tom Jensen

Header-poll-results
Raleigh, N.C. –
-Rick Perry’s future prospects for elected office in Texas are looking tenuous. Only 29% of voters think he should run for Governor again in 2014, while 64% think he should not. There’s actually some possibility he could win another term anyway though. 49% of Republicans think he should run again to 38% who think he should not and obviously if you win the Republican nomination in Texas you’re always going to start out in a pretty good position for the general.

The White House is definitely not in Perry’s future though if Texans have anything to say about it. Only 19% of voters think he should run for President again to 73% who think he should not, and even among Republicans just 31% think he should make another bid for chief executive.

-Texans think Lyndon Johnson is their greatest President ever, although he certainly benefits from a split in the Bush vote. 39% bestow that honor to Johnson to 22% who pick George W. Bush and 19% who pick George H.W. Bush. The senior Bush is actually the best liked of the former Presidents with a 54/32 favorability rating. But voters are more passionate- for positive or negative- about the junior Bush and Johnson. Johnson has a 44/30 favorability and W. Bush’s is 48/44.

-We did a Texas level version of the recent city favorability poll we did nationally and the big winner is San Antonio at 71/11, followed not far behind by Austin at 70/17. It was a little surprising to see that even among Republicans Austin maintains a 67/24 rating, they must not mind its weirdness. Dallas with a 56/25 rating took 3rd place honors followed by Houston at 46/31. By far and away the city with the worse image of those we polled was El Paso, which came in at 28/34. There was a party divide on that one with Democrats rating it positively at 34/23, but Republicans negatively at 23/43.

-Kay Bailey Hutchison continues to be the more popular of Texas’ Senators with a 50/32 approval rating, better than John Cornyn’s 40/37. They have similar numbers with Republicans but Hutchison is more popular with Democrats (a 34% approval rating to Cornyn’s 16%) and independents (a 44/29 spread to Cornyn’s 27/44.)

PPP surveyed 591 Texas voters from April 19th to 22nd. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/-4.0%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay
Bailey Hutchison’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .50%
Disapprove…………. .32%
Not sure …………….. .19%

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John
Cornyn’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .40%
Disapprove…………. .37%
Not sure …………….. .22%

Q3 Do you think Rick Perry should run for
Governor again in 2014, or not?
He should……………………………………………….. 29%
He should not………………………………………….. 64%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q4 Do you think Rick Perry should run for
President again in 2016, or not?
He should……………………………………………….. 19%
He should not………………………………………….. 73%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Lyndon B. Johnson?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 44%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 30%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 27%

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of George H.W. Bush?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 54%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of George W. Bush?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 48%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q8 Who do you think is the greatest President ever
from Texas?
Lyndon B. Johnson ………………………………….. 39%
George H.W. Bush…………………………………… 19%
George W. Bush ……………………………………… 22%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 21%

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the city of Houston?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 46%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 23%

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the city of Dallas?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 56%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the city of San Antonio?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 71%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 11%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the city of Austin?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 70%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 17%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the city of El Paso?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 28%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%

Q14 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 9%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 16%
Moderate………………………………………………… 25%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 23%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 27%

Q15 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%

Q16 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 30%
Republican……………………………………………… 42%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 28%

Q17 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 15%
White …………………………………………………….. 69%
African-American …………………………………….. 10%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%

Q18 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 40%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 24%

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