PPP’s new Montana poll finds the race for Senate as tight as it can be. Steve Bullock and Steve Daines are each at 48%. Beyond that, they have nearly identical approval ratings for their work in their current offices. Bullock has a net +4 rating as Governor, with 48% approving and 44% disapproving of the job he’s doing. Daines has a net +4 rating as Senator, with 47% approving and 43% disapproving of the job he’s doing.
Bullock is keeping the race tied despite the overall Republican lean of the state by winning independent voters 49-44 and also by winning 90% of Democrats, compared to Daines’ 85% of Republicans. Bullock is getting 11% crossover support from GOP voters.
Although Donald Trump is likely to win Montana again the 6 point lead he holds at 52-46 represents a considerable decline in his advantage in the state from 2016 when he won it by 20 points.
PPP interviewed 798 Montana voters on October 9th and 10th. The margin of error is +/-3.5%. Full results here