Raleigh, N.C. – PPP’s newest Kansas poll finds Hillary Clinton trailing all of her potential Republican foes in the state, but by much closer margins than Barack Obama lost by there. Clinton trails Jeb Bush 45/39, Mike Huckabee 46/41, Rand Paul 45/41, Chris Christie 42/38, and Ted Cruz 43/42. It’s not likely Clinton could win Kansas, but she would at least come closer than Democrats usually do.
Jerry Moran has generally positive approval numbers- 39% of voters approve of him to 26% who disapprove. But 35% with no opinion is a bit of a warning sign for him- it was a bit of an early sign for Pat Roberts that he could face some trouble when we found last February that 41% of Kansans had no opinion about him. Moran’s 55/17 spread with Republicans does exceed the 42/16 mark we found for Roberts a year and a half ago though.
Kansas leads the way for college sports loyalty in the state at 37% to 24% for Kansas State and 14% for Wichita State. There’s a bit of a party divide with the Jayhawks leading the Wildcats by 30 points among Democrats but only 7 points with Republicans. Kansas fans love their basketball coach, giving Bill Self an 86/3 approval rating, but are quite ambivalent toward their football coach, giving Charlie Weis only a 37/23 approval. Kansas State fans are the other way around- they love their football coach, giving Bill Snyder an 85/1 approval rating, but are more ambivalent toward their basketball coach, giving Bruce Weber a 51/4 approval. Shocker fans love Gregg Marshall, giving him an 82/1 approval.
Royals fans are feeling pretty optimistic as their team sniffs October for the first time in decades. 86% think the team is going to make the playoffs, 39% think they’re going to win the American League, and 14% even think they’re going to win the World Series. Fans are also starting to hop on the bandwagon- when we polled Kansas in February only 49% of voters in the state said they identified as Royals fans, but that’s now up all the way to 58% with no other team getting more than 5% support.
PPP surveyed 903 likely voters from August 14th to 17th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.3%. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jerry
Moran’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 39%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 35%
Q2 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb
Bush, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 39%
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q3 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris
Christie, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 38%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q4 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ted
Cruz, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 42%
Ted Cruz ………………………………………………… 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q5 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mike
Huckabee, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 41%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q6 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand
Paul, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 41%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q7 Would you support or oppose raising the
minimum wage to $10 an hour?
Support ………………………………………………….. 49%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q8 When it comes to college sports, do you
consider yourself mostly to be a Kansas,
Kansas State, or Wichita State fan?
Kansas…………………………………………………… 37%
Kansas State ………………………………………….. 24%
Wichita State…………………………………………… 14%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q9 (Q9-10 asked only of KU fans) Do you approve
or disapprove of basketball coach Bill Self’s job
performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 86%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 3%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of football coach
Charlie Weis’ job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 37%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 23%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 40%
Q11 (Q11-12 asked only of KSU fans) Do you
approve or disapprove of basketball coach
Bruce Weber’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 51%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 4%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 45%
Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of football coach
Bill Snyder’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 85%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 1%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q13 (Asked only of Wichita State fans:) Do you
approve or disapprove of basketball coach
Gregg Marshall’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 82%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 1%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q14 Is your favorite Major League Baseball team
the Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Chicago
Cubs, Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals,
New York Yankees, Oakland Athletics, St.
Louis Cardinals, or some other team?
Braves …………………………………………………… 1%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 2%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 5%
Rockies………………………………………………….. 2%
Royals……………………………………………………. 58%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 4%
A’s…………………………………………………………. 0%
Cardinals………………………………………………… 4%
Someone else / Don’t have a favorite …………. 25%
Q15 (Asked only of Royals fans:) What do you think
the outcome of the 2014 season will be for the
Royals? Do you think they will win the World
Series, win the American League but not the
World Series, make the playoffs but not win the
American League, or not make the playoffs at
all?
Win the World Series ……………………………….. 14%
Win the AL but not the World Series …………… 25%
Make the playoffs but not win the AL ………….. 47%
Not make the the playoffs at all………………….. 4%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of the band Kansas?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 44%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 5%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 51%
Q17 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 41%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 52%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 7%
Q18 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 7%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 16%
Moderate………………………………………………… 31%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 22%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 24%
Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q20 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 30%
Republican……………………………………………… 50%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 20%
Q21 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White …………………………………………………….. 91%
Other……………………………………………………… 9%
Q22 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are 65
or older, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 18%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 46%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 26%
Q23 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
