Raleigh,
N.C. – A poll
conducted over the weekend shows Tim Kaine ahead of George Allen by one point
for Senate (47-46).  This poll shows an
increase in favoritism to Kaine, who was tied with Allen for Senate in August
(46-46).  George Allen’s favorability has
decreased over the month by two points, down 41 from 43.  However, opinions of Tim Kaine have also
decreased from 45 to 42.

This will be
a neck-and-neck race until election day. 
Kaine takes 89% of the Democratic vote, while Allen takes 89% of the
Republican vote.  53% of men back George
Allen, while 52% of women support Tim Kaine. 
Those who identify as somewhat liberal (86%) or very liberal (82%) back
Kaine.  George Allen is supported by 80%
of those who are very conservative and 79% of those who identify as somewhat conservative.  Kaine does take a large portion of the
African-American vote, pulling in 82%.

“This race
hasn’t really moved a bit in two years and there’s not much reason to think
that it will in the next seven weeks either,” said Dean Debnam, President of
Public Policy Polling. “More than likely someone is going to end up winning
this one by a point or two.”

Virginia
voters will vote in November on a proposed constitutional amendment on eminent
domain.  This amendment is supported with
43% of likely voters in favor and 19% against. 
38% of women and 48% of men are for the Eminent Domain Amendment.  However, 38% of likely voters are unsure of
this change to the constitution.

Virginians
show loyalty to their local professional sports teams.  28% of those polled stated their favorite NFL
football team is Washington D.C.’s Redskins. 
When it comes to their favorite MLB baseball team, the Washington
Nationals are supported by 19% of those polled.

PPP surveyed 1,021 likely
Virginia voters, from September 13 to 16. The margin of error for the survey is
+/-3.1%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political
organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of George Allen?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 41%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tim Kaine?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 42%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q3 The candidates for Senate this fall are
Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George
Allen. If the election was today, who would you
vote for?
Tim Kaine……………………………………………….. 47%
George Allen…………………………………………… 46%
Undecided………………………………………………. 7%

Q4 On the November ballot, there is a proposed
constitutional amendment that would require
that eminent domain only be exercised where
the property taken or damaged is for public use
and, except for utilities or the elimination of a
public nuisance, not where the primary use is
for private gain, private benefit, private
enterprise, increasing jobs, increasing tax
revenue, or economic development; (ii) to
define what is included in just compensation for
such taking or damaging of property; and (iii) to
prohibit the taking or damaging of more private
property than is necessary for the public use. If
the election was today, would you vote for or
against this amendment?
For ………………………………………………………… 43%
Against…………………………………………………… 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%

Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bob
McDonnell’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 44%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 21%

Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark
Warner’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 49%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 29%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 22%

Q7 Generally speaking, if there was an election for
Senate today, would you vote for Democrat
Mark Warner or his Republican opponent?
Mark Warner …………………………………………… 51%
Republican opponent ……………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Q8 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jim
Webb’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 35%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 31%

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Eric Cantor?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 25%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 35%

Q10 If there was an election for Congress today,
would you vote Democratic or Republican?
Democratic……………………………………………… 45%
Republican……………………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q11 What is your favorite Major League Baseball
team: the Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles,
Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, New York
Mets, New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies,
Washington Nationals, or someone else?
Braves …………………………………………………… 13%
Orioles …………………………………………………… 11%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 7%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 4%
Mets………………………………………………………. 3%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 13%
Phillies …………………………………………………… 2%
Nationals………………………………………………… 19%
Someone else…………………………………………. 28%

Q12 Is your favorite NFL team the Atlanta Falcons,
Baltimore Ravens, Carolina Panthers, Dallas
Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia
Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington
Redskins, or someone else?
Falcons ………………………………………………….. 3%
Ravens…………………………………………………… 3%
Panthers ………………………………………………… 4%
Cowboys………………………………………………… 11%
Packers………………………………………………….. 5%
Eagles……………………………………………………. 6%
Steelers………………………………………………….. 9%
Redskins………………………………………………… 28%
Someone else/Don’t have a favorite team …… 32%

Q13 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 11%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 17%
Moderate………………………………………………… 32%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 25%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 16%

Q14 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 52%
Man……………………………………………………….. 48%

Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 32%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 33%

Q16 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 73%
African-American …………………………………….. 17%
Other……………………………………………………… 10%

Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 26%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 41%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%