Raleigh, N.C. – Senator Chuck Grassley looks safe for re-election at the moment, leading Democratic frontrunner Roxanne Conlin by 27 points, and the other two lesser-known Democrats by margins of 2-to-1 or more. Grassley has solid job approval numbers for this political environment, and while most have not heard of them, none of the Democrats is well liked.
Grassley gets 57% of the vote to Conlin’s 31%, with a similar 57-27 margin among independents. He also pulls 25% of Conlin’s party and 88% of his own.
Grassley tops Tom Fiegen, 56-28, and Bob Krause, 56-26. He gets 88 or 90% of the GOP and 23% of the Democrats in each of those matchups, beating Fiegen, 55-23, and Krause, 54-22, with independents.
By a 46-37 margin, Iowa voters approve of Grassley’s job performance. Republicans more strongly approve, 68-17, than Democrats disapprove, 27-56, while independents also approve, 42-38.
Conlin has a 19-29 favorability margin, while 53% have no opinion of her. 82% and 80% are unaware of Fiegen and Krause, respectively; of those who are aware, Fiegen has a 5-13 grade, and Krause a 6-14. Fiegen and Krause are even in negative territory with Democrats, each at 10% favorable, while Conlin sits at 38-15 with them. She has a 3-43 with Republicans, however, and a 14-27 with independents.
“The fact Grassley does about the same against any Democrat, with well over 50% of the vote, is an indication he is in strong shape,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But it also is an indication that none of the Democrats is well known at all yet, and that Roxanne Conlin could significantly close this huge gap when she ups her name recognition.”
PPP surveyed 1,277 Iowa voters from May 25th to 27th. The margin of error for the survey was +/-2.7%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 43%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 52%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 5%
Q2 Do you support or oppose President Obama’s
health care plan, or do you not have an
opinion?
Support ………………………………………………….. 36%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 52%
No Opinion……………………………………………… 11%
Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Tom
Harkin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Chuck Grassley’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 46%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Roxanne Conlin?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 19%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 29%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 53%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tom Fiegen?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 5%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 13%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 82%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bob Krause?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 6%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 14%
Not Sure…………………………………………………. 80%
Q8 If the candidates for US Senate were
Republican Chuck Grassley and Democrat
Roxanne Conlin, who would you vote for?
Chuck Grassley ………………………………………. 57%
Roxanne Conlin ………………………………………. 31%
Undecided………………………………………………. 12%
Q9 If the candidates for US Senate were
Republican Chuck Grassley and Democrat
Tom Fiegen, who would you vote for?
Chuck Grassley ………………………………………. 56%
Tom Fiegen…………………………………………….. 28%
Undecided………………………………………………. 17%
Q10 If the candidates for US Senate were
Republican Chuck Grassley and Democrat Bob
Krause, who would you vote for?
Chuck Grassley ………………………………………. 56%
Bob Krause…………………………………………….. 26%
Undecided………………………………………………. 17%
Q11 Who did you vote for President last year?
John McCain…………………………………………… 45%
Barack Obama………………………………………… 45%
Someone Else/Don’t Remember………………… 9%
Q12 Would you describe yourself as a liberal,
moderate, or conservative?
Liberal ……………………………………………………. 18%
Moderate………………………………………………… 39%
Conservative…………………………………………… 44%
Q13 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 52%
Man……………………………………………………….. 48%
Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a
Republican, press 2. If you are an independent
or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 37%
Republican……………………………………………… 38%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 26%
Q15 If you are white, press one now. If other, press
2.
White …………………………………………………….. 94%
Other……………………………………………………… 6%
Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If
you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65,
press 3. If older, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 14%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 20%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 46%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 20%
