Raleigh, N.C. – -PPP’s newest
Florida poll finds that voters in the state continue to be closely divided in
their feelings about Marco Rubio. 43% approve of him to 45% who disapprove
numbers pretty similar to the 44/43 spread we found for him in March. Rubio has
dropped over the longer term though- last September we found him with a 51/33
approval.
Floridians say they support a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants
by a 48/35 margin. Nevertheless only 21% of voters in the state say they agree
with Rubio’s stance on immigration, compared to 41% who they disagree. His
problem on that issue is that both voters who support a path to citizenship
(23/41) and ones who are opposed to a path to citizenship (19/51) both say that
they disagree with Rubio on immigration. So bascially he’s not pleasing either
side on the issue.
Rubio holds narrow leads in a pair of hypothetical reelection match ups, up
45/42 on Alex Sink and 46/43 on Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Republicans would
certainly be better off with him running again than they would with Allen West
though, who indicated last week that he would be interested in a 2016 Senate
bid. West trails Sink 44/38 and Wasserman Schultz 44/40 in head to heads.
A medical marijuana initiative that could be on the ballot next year has
overwhelming support with Floridians- 62% say they would support it to only 26%
who are opposed. There is a bipartisan consensus on the issue with independents
(74/17) and Democrats (68/20) supporting it overwhelmingly and even Republicans
(46/41) doing so by a narrow margin.
Reflecting the unhappiness we’re seeing with Congressional Republicans
nationally, Democrats have opened up a 6 point lead on the generic House ballot
in Florida at 48/42. They have a 10 point advantage with independents at 41/31,
and 11% of Republicans say they’d vote Democratic if there was an election
today compared to 9% of Democrats who say they’d support the GOP.
PPP surveyed 579 Florida
voters from September 27th-29th. The margin of error is +/-4.1%. This
poll was not authorized or paid for by any campaign or political organization.
PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill
Nelson’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .41%
Disapprove…………. .38%
Not sure …………….. .21%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Marco Rubio’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .43%
Disapprove…………. .45%
Not sure …………….. .12%
Q3 Would you support or oppose a ballot initiative
allowing the use of marijuana for medical
purposes?
Support ………………………………………………….. 62%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Alex Sink?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 23%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 52%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Debbie Wasserman Schultz?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 27%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 41%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Allen West?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 27%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 27%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 46%
Q7 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were
Democrat Alex Sink and Republican Marco
Rubio, who would you vote for?
Alex Sink………………………………………………… 42%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q8 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were
Democrat Alex Sink and Republican Allen
West, who would you vote for?
Alex Sink………………………………………………… 44%
Allen West………………………………………………. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were
Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz and
Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote
for?
Debbie Wasserman Schultz………………………. 43%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were
Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz and
Republican Allen West, who would you vote
for?
Debbie Wasserman Schultz………………………. 44%
Allen West………………………………………………. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q11 Do you think Marco Rubio is too liberal, too
conservative, or about right?
Too liberal ………………………………………………. 10%
Too conservative……………………………………… 37%
About right ……………………………………………… 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q12 Do you support or oppose Marco Rubio’s
stance on immigration, or are you not sure
what it is?
Support ………………………………………………….. 21%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 37%
Q13 Do you support or oppose legislation that
would allow for a legal way for illegal
immigrants in America to become U.S.
citizens?
Support ………………………………………………….. 48%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
Q14 Generally speaking, if there was an election for
Congress today, would you vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate from your
district?
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 48%
Republican……………………………………………… 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of George Zimmerman?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 20%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 33%
Q16 Do you think George Zimmerman should have
been found guilty or not guilty in the death of
Trayvon Martin?
Guilty …………………………………………………….. 37%
Not guilty………………………………………………… 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q17 Out of the seven Florida colleges with Division
1 football teams: Central Florida University, the
University of Florida, Florida Atlantic University,
Florida International University, Florida State
University, the University of Miami, and the
University of South Florida, which is your
favorite?
Central Florida ………………………………………… 9%
Florida……………………………………………………. 24%
Florida Atlantic ………………………………………… 2%
Florida International …………………………………. 2%
Florida State …………………………………………… 22%
Miami …………………………………………………….. 12%
South Florida ………………………………………….. 2%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 26%
Q18 (Asked only of Florida fans:) Do you approve or
disapprove of the job Will Muschamp is doing
as football coach?
Approve …………………………………………………. 46%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 14%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 40%
Q19 (Asked only of FSU fans:) Do you approve or
disapprove of the job Jimbo Fisher is doing as
football coach?
Approve …………………………………………………. 56%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 1%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 44%
Q20 (Asked only of Miami fans:) Do you approve or
disapprove of the job Al Golden is doing as
football coach?
Approve …………………………………………………. 58%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 13%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 29%
Q21 Is your favorite Major League Baseball team
the Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Chicago
Cubs, Florida Marlins, New York Mets, New
York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, or Tampa
Bay Rays?
Braves …………………………………………………… 22%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 9%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 5%
Marlins …………………………………………………… 11%
Mets………………………………………………………. 3%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 10%
Phillies …………………………………………………… 2%
Rays ……………………………………………………… 13%
Someone else/Not a baseball fan ………………. 24%
Q22 (Q22-23 asked only of Rays fans) Do you
approve or disapprove of the job Joe Maddon
is doing as manager?
Approve …………………………………………………. 74%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 1%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 24%
Q23 What do you think the outcome of the Rays
season will be this year: win the World Series,
win the American League but not the World
Series, win the division series but not the
American League, or lose the division series?
Win the World Series ……………………………….. 16%
Win the ALCS …………………………………………. 26%
Win the ALDS …………………………………………. 47%
Lose the ALDS………………………………………… 7%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q24 Is your favorite NFL team the Atlanta Falcons,
Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers,
Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, New
England Patriots, New York Giants, New York
Jets, or Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Falcons ………………………………………………….. 4%
Cowboys………………………………………………… 6%
Packers………………………………………………….. 6%
Jaguars………………………………………………….. 6%
Dolphins…………………………………………………. 21%
Patriots ………………………………………………….. 7%
Giants ……………………………………………………. 5%
Jets ……………………………………………………….. 3%
Buccaneers…………………………………………….. 15%
Someone else/Not a football fan………………… 27%
Q25 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 47%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 47%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 6%
Q26 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 10%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 18%
Moderate………………………………………………… 29%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 27%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 16%
Q27 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%
Q28 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 39%
Republican……………………………………………… 35%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 25%
Q29 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic…………………………………………………. 11%
White …………………………………………………….. 67%
African-American …………………………………….. 15%
Other……………………………………………………… 6%
Q30 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 27%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 28%
