Raleigh,
N.C. – Louisiana was
not on anyone’s list of battleground states in 2012, but it might be in 2016 if
Hillary Clinton runs for president, according to PPP’s latest poll.
Clinton is
tied with Paul Ryan at 46%, and she leads Marco Rubio 46/43 and Bobby Jindal 48/45.
66% of voters in his home state do not think Jindal should run for president in
2016. The state’s voters have a narrowly favorable opinion of Clinton, 46% to
44%.
These
results are within the margin of error, but they are indicative of Clinton’s
unmatched appeal to moderate voters. 67% of moderates have a favorable view of
Clinton to 25% unfavorable. Even 23% of somewhat conservative voters view her
favorably, and these numbers hold up in match-ups against each of the GOP
candidates.
New
Orleans mayor Mitch Landrieu could have a shot at winning the governorship in
Louisiana if he decides to run in 2015. He is tied with David Vitter at 44% and
leads Jay Dardenne by 2 points, 44% to 42%. Landrieu has strong statewide
popularity with a +23 favorability rating, with 49% favorable, 26% unfavorable
and 25% not sure.
“Mitch
Landrieu has an unusual amount of appeal to Louisiana voters for a Democrat,”
said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “A Gubernatorial run by
him would make for a pretty interesting race.”
In New
Orleans Saints news, 59% of Louisiana voters think the alleged bounty program
on opposing quarterbacks was inappropriate, but 60% also thought the NFL’s
sanctions were too strict. 86% view quarterback Drew Brees favorably and 74%
have a favorable opinion of head coach Sean Payton.
Same-sex
marriage is opposed 59% to 29%, but 54% support some form of legal recognition—25%
for marriage equality and 29% for civil unions. Voters disapprove of President
George W. Bush’s handling of Hurricane Katrina by 9 points, 40/49. Longtime
governor Edwin Edwards, recently released from prison on racketeering charges, has
surprisingly decent favorability numbers at 42/44.
PPP surveyed 603 Louisiana voters from February 8th
to 12th. The margin of error for the sample is +/-4 %. This
poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.
PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
General Election Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 43%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 55%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 2%
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
David Vitter’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .46%
Disapprove…………. .38%
Not sure …………….. .16%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mitch Landrieu?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 49%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%
Q4 If the candidates for Governor in 2015 were
Republican David Vitter and Democrat Mitch
Landrieu, who would you vote for?
David Vitter …………………………………………….. 44%
Mitch Landrieu ………………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q5 If the candidates for Governor in 2015 were
Republican Jay Dardenne and Democrat Mitch
Landrieu, who would you vote for?
Jay Dardenne …………………………………………. 42%
Mitch Landrieu ………………………………………… 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q6 Do you think same-sex marriage should be
allowed in Louisiana, or not?
It should be allowed …………………………………. 29%
It should not ……………………………………………. 59%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q7 Which of the following best describes your
opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should
be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples
should be allowed to form civil unions but not
legally marry, or there should be no legal
recognition of a gay couple’s relationship?
Gay couples should be allowed to be legally
married……………………………………………………25%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil
unions but not marry …………………………………29%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay
couple’s relationship …………………………………41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Hillary Clinton?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 46%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q9 If the candidates for President in 2016 were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican
Bobby Jindal, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 48%
Bobby Jindal …………………………………………… 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q10 If the candidates for President in 2016 were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican
Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 46%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 43%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q11 If the candidates for President in 2016 were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Paul
Ryan, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 46%
Paul Ryan ………………………………………………. 46%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q12 Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for
President in 2016, or not?
He should run …………………………………………. 24%
He should not………………………………………….. 66%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of David Duke?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 9%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 76%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Edwin Edwards?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 42%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q15 Who would you vote for in a Gubernatorial
election between Republican David Duke and
Democrat Edwin Edwards?
David Duke …………………………………………….. 15%
Edwin Edwards ……………………………………….. 62%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 23%
Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Huey Long?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 36%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 38%
Q17 Do you approve or disapprove of former
President George W. Bush’s handling of
Hurricane Katrina?
Approve …………….. .40%
Disapprove…………. .49%
Not sure …………….. .11%
Q18 Do you think the bounty program the Saints
were alleged to have on opposing
quarterbacks was appropriate or
inappropriate?
Appropriate ………… .11%
Inappropriate………. .59%
Not sure …………….. .31%
Q19 Do you think the NFL’s sanctions against the
Saints were too strict, about right, or too
lenient?
Too strict ……………. .60%
About right …………. .24%
Too lenient …………. . 7%
Not sure …………….. . 8%
Q20 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Sean Payton?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 74%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 6%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%
Q21 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Drew Brees?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 86%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 4%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q22 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Roger Goodell?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 17%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 41%
Q23 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 40%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 54%
Someone else/Don’t remember …………………. 5%
Q24 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 12%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 12%
Moderate………………………………………………… 28%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 22%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 26%
Q25 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 51%
Man……………………………………………………….. 49%
Q26 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 43%
Republican……………………………………………… 39%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 17%
Q27 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 70%
African-American …………………………………….. 25%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%
Q28 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%
Republican Primary Toplines
Q1 Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie,
Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana
Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see
as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
Jeb Bush……………. . 9%
Chris Christie ……… .11%
Mike Huckabee …… .18%
Bobby Jindal ………. .14%
Susana Martinez…. . 1%
Rand Paul ………….. . 8%
Rick Perry ………….. . 3%
Marco Rubio ………. .21%
Paul Ryan ………….. . 7%
Someone else/Not
sure…………………….8%
Q2 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 3%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 4%
Moderate………………………………………………… 16%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 36%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 42%
Q3 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 46%
Man……………………………………………………….. 54%
Q4 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 39%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 31%