Raleigh, N.C. – It looks like Michigan will remain solidly in the blue column if Hillary Clinton runs for President in 2016. She leads her potential Republican opponents in the state by anywhere from 9 to 12 points: it’s 46/37 over Chris Christie, 48/39 over Rand Paul, 49/38 over Jeb Bush, and 50/38 over Mike Huckabee.

Republicans are split a lot of different ways when it comes to who they’d like as their nominee in 2016. 16% want Rand Paul, 15% each support Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee, 11% are for Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush is at 9%, Paul Ryan and Scott Walker each get 5%, Marco Rubio’s at 4%, and Bobby Jindal is last at 3%. Paul and Huckabee do well based on their strength with ‘very conservative’ Republican voters, while Christie does better with more middle of the road ones.

Medicaid expansion is meeting with positive reviews so far from voters in the state- 50% say they support Healthy Michigan to only 19% who say they’re opposed. Republicans are only narrowly against the program (28/33) while Democrats (72/7) and independents (47/18) both express overwhelming support for it.

Michiganders narrowly (49/44) think the state should recognize the gay marriages that were performed last month. Every age group except seniors thinks the marriages should be recognized, and it has particularly strong support with independents (53/38).

Increasing the minimum wage to $10 an hour continues to be a popular concept in the state with 56% of voters supporting such a move to only 36% who are opposed. Democrats pretty overwhelmingly favor it (85/10), a majority of independents (52/36) do, and it has 28% support from Republicans.

74% of Michigan voters identify themselves as Tigers fans. Even on the spectrum of states where there’s only one MLB team that’s an unusually high level of support for the Tigers- our recent polls in Colorado and Arizona found that only 59% and 50% of fans in those states are Rockies and Diamondbacks fans respectively.

PPP surveyed 825 registered voters, including 334 Republican primary voters, from April 3rd to 6th. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.4% and for the Republicans it’s +/-5.4%. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

General Election Toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Carl
Levin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 47%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 19%

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Debbie Stabenow’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 48%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%

Q3 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb
Bush, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 49%
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q4 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris
Christie, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 46%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%

Q5 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mike
Huckabee, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 50%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q6 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand
Paul, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 48%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q7 Would you support or oppose raising the
minimum wage to $10 an hour?
Support ………………………………………………….. 56%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q8 Do you support or oppose Healthy Michigan,
the Medicaid expansion program that began
this week?
Support ………………………………………………….. 50%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 31%

Q9 Do you think the state of Michigan should
recognize the same-sex marriages that were
performed in the state last month, or not?
Think it should recognize them ………………….. 49%
Think it should not……………………………………. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q10 Do you think marijuana should be legally
allowed for medical purposes with the approval
of a doctor, or not?
Think it should…………………………………………. 70%
Think it should not……………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 6%

Q11 Do you think marijuana should be legally
allowed for recreational use, that stores should
be allowed to sell it, and that its sales should
be taxed and regulated similarly to alcohol, or
not?
Think it should…………………………………………. 45%
Think it should not……………………………………. 48%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q12 Is your favorite Major League Baseball team
the Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Chicago
Cubs, Cleveland Indians, Detroit Tigers,
Milwaukee Brewers, New York Yankees,
Toronto Blue Jays, or some other team?
Braves …………………………………………………… 2%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 2%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 5%
Indians …………………………………………………… 1%
Tigers…………………………………………………….. 74%
Brewers …………………………………………………. 1%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 2%
Blue Jays ……………………………………………….. 0%
Some other team / Not a baseball fan…………. 14%

Q13 (Q13-18 asked only of Tigers fans) What do
you think the outcome of the 2014 season will
be for the Tigers? Do you think they will win
the World Series, win the American League
pennant but not the World Series, make the
playoffs but not win the pennant, or not make
the playoffs at all?
Win the World Series ……………………………….. 42%
Win the pennant but not the World Series …… 24%
Make the playoffs but not win the pennant…… 22%
Not make the playoffs at all……………………….. 3%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Miguel Cabrera?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 68%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 8%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 24%

Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of the eightyear,
$248 million contract extension the Tigers
recently gave Miguel Cabrera?
Approve …………………………………………………. 36%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 23%

Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Max Scherzer?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 58%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 6%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 36%

Q17 Max Scherzer recently rejected a contract
extension offer from the Tigers for six years
and $144 million. Do you think Scherzer was
right to reject the offer, or do you think he
should have accepted it?
Think he was right to reject the offer…………… 24%
Think he should have accepted it ………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 35%

Q18 Do you approve or disapprove of the offseason
trade that sent Prince Fielder to the Texas
Rangers in exchange for Ian Kinsler?
Approve …………………………………………………. 48%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 33%

Q19 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 42%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 8%

Q20 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 12%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 28%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 26%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 14%

Q21 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%

Q22 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 30%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 35%

Q23 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 81%
African-American …………………………………….. 14%
Other……………………………………………………… 5%

Q24 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 10%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 24%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 45%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%

Q25 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%

Republican Primary Toplines

Q1 Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie,
Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand
Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott
Walker, who would you most like to see as the
GOP candidate for President in 2016?
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 9%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 15%
Ted Cruz ………………………………………………… 11%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 15%
Bobby Jindal …………………………………………… 3%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 16%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 4%
Paul Ryan ………………………………………………. 5%
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 5%
Someone else / Not sure ………………………….. 17%

Q2 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 2%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 5%
Moderate………………………………………………… 20%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 44%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 29%

Q3 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 46%
Man……………………………………………………….. 54%

Q4 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 40%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 30%