Raleigh, N.C. – PPP’s newest Minnesota poll finds Hillary Clinton with consistent leads against potential Republican opponents in 2016, even when pitted against Minnesota’s native son and daughter, Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann.

In fact, Clinton’s largest lead comes against Bachmann as 52% of voters say they would vote for Clinton and 35% for Bachmann. This comes as no surprise given that 56% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Bachmann. Conversely, Pawlenty presents Clinton’s toughest challenge in Minnesota. Clinton leads Pawlenty 48% to 42%, while 43% of voters have a favorable opinion of him and 41% unfavorable.

Clinton is ahead by double digits in every other match-up. Clinton leads 49/39 against Jeb Bush, 47/37 against Chris Christie, 51/35 against Ted Cruz, 50/40 against Mike Huckabee, and 49/38 against Rand Paul. Much of Clinton’s leads in these races comes from more consistent support among Democrats, as she gets at least 89% of the Democratic vote in each case.

“Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty didn’t prove to be very strong Presidential candidates in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “And these numbers show that little has changed- they still wouldn’t be able to carry their home state today.”

Almost one year after same-sex marriage officially became legal in the state, 80% of voters say that it has had either a positive or no impact on their life. 52% of voters feel that same-sex marriage should be allowed, while 40% think that it should not. It enjoys a plurality of support among all age groups except those older than 65.

While Twins fans overwhelmingly support their manager, they aren’t very optimistic about the team’s outlook this season. 52% of Twins fans approve of manager Ron Gardenhire’s job performance and only 16% disapprove. When asked what they think the outcome of the season will be, a plurality (48%) of fans said the Twins will not make the playoffs at all.

PPP surveyed 633 registered voters from June 12th to 15th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.9%. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.

Topline results are below.  Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Michele Bachmann?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 31%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 56%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tim Pawlenty?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 43%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%

Q3 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican
Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 52%
Michele Bachmann ………………………………….. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q4 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb
Bush, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 49%
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%

Q5 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris
Christie, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 47%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%

Q6 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ted
Cruz, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 51%
Ted Cruz ………………………………………………… 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q7 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mike
Huckabee, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 50%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Q8 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand
Paul, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 49%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q9 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Tim
Pawlenty, who would you vote for?
Hilary Clinton ………………………………………….. 48%
Tim Pawlenty ………………………………………….. 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%

Q10 Do you think same-sex marriage should be
allowed in Minnesota, or not?
Think it should be allowed…………………………. 52%
Think it should not be……………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Q11 Has the legalization of gay marriage in
Minnesota had a positive or negative impact on
your life, or has it not had any impact at all?
Positive impact………………………………………… 20%
Negative impact ………………………………………. 20%
No impact at all ……………………………………….. 60%

Q12 Do you think marijuana should be legally
allowed for medical purposes with the approval
of a doctor, or not?
Think it should be allowed…………………………. 74%
Think it should not be……………………………….. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
DFL members of the legislature are doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 35%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 45%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%

Q14 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the
Republican members of the legislature are
doing?
Approve …………………………………………………. 23%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 57%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 20%

Q15 If there was an election for the legislature
today, do you think you would vote for the DFL
or Republican candidate from your district?
DFL candidate ………………………………………… 46%
Republican candidate ………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%

Q16 Do you support or oppose allowing Sunday
liquor sales?
Support ………………………………………………….. 60%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q17 Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable
Care Act?
Approve …………………………………………………. 43%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 42%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%

Q18 Would you support or oppose raising the
minimum wage to $10 an hour?
Support ………………………………………………….. 56%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q19 Given the choices of the Atlanta Braves,
Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Chicago
White Sox, Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota
Twins, and New York Yankees, which is your
favorite Major League Baseball team?
Braves …………………………………………………… 2%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 5%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 5%
White Sox ………………………………………………. 1%
Brewers …………………………………………………. 3%
Twins……………………………………………………… 65%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 2%
Someone else / Don’t have a favorite …………. 18%

Q20 (Q20-21 asked only of Twins fans) Do you
approve or disapprove of manager Ron
Gardenhire’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 52%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 16%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 32%

Q21 What do you think the outcome of the 2014
season will be for the Twins? Do you think
they will win the World Series, win the
American League pennant but not the World
Series, make the playoffs but not win the
pennant, or not make the playoffs at all?
Win the World Series ……………………………….. 6%
Win the pennant but not the World Series …… 5%
Make the playoffs but not win the pennant…… 33%
Not make the playoffs at all……………………….. 48%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q22 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 44%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 6%

Q23 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 14%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 19%
Moderate………………………………………………… 28%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 22%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 17%

Q24 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%

Q25 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 37%
Republican……………………………………………… 28%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 35%

Q26 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White …………………………………………………….. 85%
Other……………………………………………………… 15%

Q27 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 14%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 37%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 19%

Q28 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%