Raleigh, N.C. – PPP’s newest Michigan poll shows Hillary Clinton with large leads on several potential Republican opponents in 2016. In each match-up, Clinton beats the Republican candidate by double digits.
Clinton leads Jeb Bush 47/37, Chris Christie 48/35, Ted Cruz 50/34, Mike Huckabee 48/36, and Rand Paul 47/37. While Clinton gets at least 84% of the votes from Democrats in each race, the only Republican candidate to get at least 80% of Republican voters’ support is Jeb Bush with 85%. She leads among independents in each race, including 41/32 against Bush, 40/33 against Christie, 45/30 against Cruz, 40/33 against Huckabee, and 39/37 against Paul.
“Barack Obama won Michigan easily in both 2008 and 2012 and it looks like if Hillary Clinton runs in 2016 that trend will continue,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
In terms of issues, 35% of Michigan voters oppose Common Core, but even more (40%) do not have an opinion on it at all. Democrats support it by a 15-point margin (35/20), but both Republicans (17/50) and independents (19/39) are opposed. However, independents sided with Democrats on the issues of whether or not power plants should be required to cut carbon pollution by up to 30% and raising the minimum wage. 76% of Democrats and 52% of independents support such a requirement to cut carbon pollution, while only 25% of Republicans do, with 59% opposed. 84% of Democrats and 52% of independents support raising the minimum wage, compared to only 25% of Republicans (65% opposed).
Tigers fans are continuing to feel rather optimistic about this season. 29% think they will win the World Series, 29% think they will win the pennant but not the World Series, and 25% think they will make the playoffs but not win the pennant. Only 6% of Tigers fans think the team will not make the playoffs at all. Unsurprisingly given this view on the season, 47% of Tigers fans approve of manager Brad Ausmus with only 9% disapproving of his performance.
PPP surveyed 578 registered voters from June 26th to 29th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4.1%. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
Q1 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb
Bush, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 47%
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q2 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris
Christie, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 48%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 18%
Q3 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ted
Cruz, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 50%
Ted Cruz ………………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q4 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mike
Huckabee, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 48%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q5 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand
Paul, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 47%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q6 Do you support or oppose the Common Core
education standards?
Support ………………………………………………….. 24%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 35%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 40%
Q7 Would you support or oppose raising the
minimum wage to $10 an hour?
Support ………………………………………………….. 56%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q8 Do you support or oppose requiring existing
power plants to cut carbon pollution by up to
30%?
Support ………………………………………………….. 53%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q9 What college football team would you say you
are most a fan of: Central Michigan, Eastern
Michigan, Michigan, Michigan State, or
Western Michigan?
Central Michigan …………………………………….. 5%
Eastern Michigan …………………………………….. 4%
Michigan ………………………………………………… 36%
Michigan State ………………………………………… 34%
Western Michigan ……………………………………. 3%
Someone else / Not sure ………………………….. 18%
Q10 (Asked only of Michigan fans:) Do you approve
or disapprove of the job Brady Hoke is doing as
football coach?
Approve …………………………………………………. 40%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 12%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 48%
Q11 (Asked only of Michigan State fans:) Do you
approve or disapprove of the job Mark
Dantonio is doing as football coach?
Approve …………………………………………………. 57%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 3%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 40%
Q12 If you had to choose between the Detroit Tigers
winning the World Series or the United States
winning the World Cup, which would you
choose?
Tigers winning the World Series ………………… 66%
U.S. winning the World Cup………………………. 22%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q13 Would you support or oppose holding the 2028
Summer Olympics in Detroit?
Support ………………………………………………….. 57%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 29%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 14%
Q14 Is your favorite Major League Baseball team
the Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox, Chicago
Cubs, Cleveland Indians, Detroit Tigers,
Milwaukee Brewers, New York Yankees,
Toronto Blue Jays, or some other team?
Braves …………………………………………………… 2%
Red Sox…………………………………………………. 2%
Cubs ……………………………………………………… 4%
Indians …………………………………………………… 1%
Tigers…………………………………………………….. 73%
Brewers …………………………………………………. 2%
Yankees …………………………………………………. 1%
Blue Jays ……………………………………………….. 0%
Someone else / Not a baseball fan …………….. 16%
Q15 (Q15-16 asked only of Tigers fans) What do
you think the outcome of the 2014 season will
be for the Tigers? Do you think they will win
the World Series, win the American League
pennant but not the World Series, make the
playoffs but not win the pennant, or not make
the playoffs at all?
Win the World Series ……………………………….. 29%
Win the pennant but not the World Series …… 29%
Make the playoffs but not win the pennant…… 25%
Not make the playoffs at all……………………….. 6%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
Q16 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Brad
Ausmus is doing as manager?
Approve …………………………………………………. 47%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 9%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 44%
Q17 In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama………………………………………… 50%
Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 40%
Someone else / Don’t remember ……………….. 10%
Q18 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 14%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 18%
Moderate………………………………………………… 30%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 23%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 14%
Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%
Man……………………………………………………….. 47%
Q20 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 35%
Republican……………………………………………… 27%
Independent / Other…………………………………. 38%
Q21 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 80%
African-American …………………………………….. 13%
Other……………………………………………………… 7%
Q22 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 12%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 42%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 24%
Q23 Mode
Phone ……………………………………………………. 80%
Internet ………………………………………………….. 20%
