Raleigh,
N.C. – North
Carolina Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry is back as the favorite among Republican
primary voters and the strongest potential challenger against Democratic
Senator Kay Hagan in 2014, according to PPP’s latest North Carolina poll.
Hagan
continues to lead all seven potential Republican challengers in hypothetical
match-ups by 5 to 13 points. She leads Berry 46/41, Renee Ellmers 48/40, Phil Berger
48/39, Virginia Foxx 48/39, Thom Tillis 49/39, Terry Embler 47/37 and Greg
Brannon 49/36. Berry is the only Republican with a net positive favorability
rating with general election voters—32% hold a favorable opinion of her against
18% unfavorable. None of the GOP challengers have statewide name recognition
above 50%.
North
Carolina voters narrowly approve of Hagan’s job performance, 39% to 37%, but
24% are not sure. Independent voters are evenly divided with 38% approving and
37% disapproving. Moderates approve of her by a substantial margin, 52% to 24%.
Republican Senator Richard Burr is slightly less popular, with 36% of voters
approving and 38% disapproving of his job performance.
In the
seven-way hypothetical Republican primary for 2014, Cherie Berry leads with 18%
support, followed by 13% for Foxx, 12% for Ellmers, 11% for Berger, 7% for Tillis,
6% for Brannon and 1% for Embler. 32% support someone else or are not sure.
Berry is remarkably strong with voters 18 to 45 years old. 38% of Republicans
in this younger age range support her as their GOP primary candidate and 46% of
them view her favorably.
“Cherie
Berry remains a favorite for North Carolina Republicans, but the primary field is
still completely wide open,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy
Polling.
54% of
North Carolina voters support Congress passing stricter gun laws while 38% are
opposed. Support for an assault weapons ban is almost as strong with 52% in
favor—including 37% of Republicans—and 40% opposed. 45% of voters support and
40% oppose legislation to allow a legal path to U.S. citizenship for illegal
immigrants.
PPP surveyed 601 North Carolina voters and 468 usual
Republican primary voters from April 11th to 14th. The margin
of error for the overall sample is +/-4% and +/-4.5 % for the GOP portion. This
poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.
PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.
General Election Toplines
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay
Hagan’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .39%
Disapprove…………. .37%
Not sure …………….. .24%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Phil Berger?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 57%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Cherie Berry?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 32%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 50%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Greg Brannon?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 72%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Renee Ellmers?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 20%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 26%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Terry Embler?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 10%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 15%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 75%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Virginia Foxx?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 23%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 27%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 50%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Thom Tillis?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 17%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%
Q9 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Phil
Berger, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 48%
Phil Berger ……………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q10 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Cherie
Berry, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 46%
Cherie Berry……………………………………………. 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q11 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Greg
Brannon, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 49%
Greg Brannon …………………………………………. 36%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q12 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Renee
Ellmers, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 48%
Renee Ellmers ………………………………………… 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%
Q13 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Terry
Embler, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 47%
Terry Embler …………………………………………… 37%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q14 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Virginia
Foxx, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 48%
Virginia Foxx …………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q15 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Thom
Tillis, who would you vote for?
Kay Hagan……………………………………………… 49%
Thom Tillis ……………………………………………… 39%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Q16 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Richard Burr’s job performance?
Approve …………….. .36%
Disapprove…………. .38%
Not sure …………….. .27%
Q17 Would you support or oppose banning assault
weapons?
Support ………………………………………………….. 52%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 40%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%
Q18 Would you support or oppose Congress
passing stricter gun laws?
Support ……………… .54%
Oppose ……………… .38%
Not sure …………….. . 8%
Q19 Do you support or oppose legislation that
would allow for a legal way for illegal
immigrants in America to become U.S.
citizens?
Support ……………… .45%
Oppose ……………… .40%
Not sure …………….. .15%
Q20 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 12%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 17%
Moderate………………………………………………… 29%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 25%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 17%
Q21 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 57%
Man……………………………………………………….. 43%
Q22 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ……………………………………………….. 43%
Republican……………………………………………… 34%
Independent/Other…………………………………… 24%
Q23 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
White …………………………………………………….. 72%
African-American …………………………………….. 22%
Other……………………………………………………… 6%
Q24 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29………………………………………………….. 16%
30 to 45………………………………………………….. 22%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 41%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 21%
Q25 Area Code
252………………………………………………………… 13%
336………………………………………………………… 18%
704………………………………………………………… 19%
828………………………………………………………… 13%
910………………………………………………………… 13%
919………………………………………………………… 23%
Republican Primary Toplines
Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Phil Berger?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 13%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 25%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 62%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Cherie Berry?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 33%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 21%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 46%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Greg Brannon?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 8%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 17%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 75%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Renee Ellmers?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 25%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 18%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 57%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Terry Embler?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 7%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 15%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 78%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Virginia Foxx?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 28%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 20%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 52%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Thom Tillis?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 21%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 19%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 60%
Q8 Given the choices of Phil Berger, Cherie Berry,
Greg Brannon, Renee Ellmers, Terry Embler,
Virginia Foxx, and Thom Tillis, who would you
most like to see as the Republican candidate
for Senate in 2014?
Phil Berger …………. .11%
Cherie Berry……….. .18%
Greg Brannon …….. . 6%
Renee Ellmers ……. .12%
Terry Embler ………. . 1%
Virginia Foxx ………. .13%
Thom Tillis …………. . 7%
Someone else/Not
sure…………………….32%
Q9 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ……………………………………………… 4%
Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 5%
Moderate………………………………………………… 19%
Somewhat conservative……………………………. 36%
Very conservative ……………………………………. 36%
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ………………………………………………….. 54%
Man……………………………………………………….. 46%
Q11 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to
65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45………………………………………………….. 34%
46 to 65………………………………………………….. 36%
Older than 65………………………………………….. 30%
Q12 Area Code
252………………………………………………………… 13%
336………………………………………………………… 19%
704………………………………………………………… 19%
828………………………………………………………… 17%
910………………………………………………………… 12%
919………………………………………………………… 20%
