Raleigh, N.C. – The needle has moved little if at all in the Maine gubernatorial election in the two and a half months since PPP last took a look at it. In late August, Mike Michaud took the lead over incumbent Republican Paul LePage for the first time, with 39% to LePage’s 35% and independent Eliot Cutler at 18%. Now, Michaud tops LePage 38-36 over Cutler’s 15%.
The good news for Michaud is that the 10% who at this point are undecided lean pretty strongly his direction. They are largely moderate Democratic and independent women who voted for Obama and still approve of his job performance by a 48-41 margin, versus the president’s 46-49 overall spread. They cannot stand LePage, giving him a 26-60 job rating, far worse than his already meager 41-54 overall standing. They also like Michaud (41% favorable, 19% unfavorable) much more than Cutler (28-16).