Raleigh, N.C. – Missouri voters expect another close presidential race in 2012. After John McCain took the Show-Me State by less than 4,000 votes in 2008, 42% of Missourians say their state will once again host a tight contest, and only 28% think it will not. Voters’ opinions are consistent with results from a PPP poll released Wednesday, which showed Obama leading Romney by one point in the state.
More Republicans (45%) think Missouri will be a swing state than Democrats (42%), despite the fact that Missouri has gone Republican in the last three presidential elections. 40% of independents think Missouri will be a swing state.
Missouri voters are warming up to the idea of marriage rights for gay couples. 64% of voters believe gay couples should either be allowed to marry or form civil unions, up from 60% in January.
President Obama’s nod of approval continues to influence black voters’ own opinions. African-American voters lead the spike in support for gay marriage after a complete turnaround from just four months ago. 50% of Missouri African Americans think gay marriage should be legal, twice their level of support in January. 81% of Missouri African Americans believe gay couples should either be allowed to marry or form civil unions, a 31-point upswing from the previous survey.