Raleigh, N.C. –PPP’s newest poll finds that Senator Mary Landrieu would be in a virtual dead heat with Republican challenger Bill Cassidy in a hypothetical November matchup. Landrieu leads Cassidy 45-44, down from her 48-41 lead when we last polled in October. Landrieu fares better against other potential Republican challengers: she leads Paul Hollis 48-42 and Rob Maness 47-42. Cassidy, however, seems to be well ahead of his fellow Republicans: when asked to choose between Landrieu, Cassidy, Hollis, and Maness, 25% of voters supported Cassidy, as compared with 5% who supported Hollis and 3% who supported Maness.
The tight race seems to be tied to a worse approval rating for Landrieu: only 37% of voters approve of the job she’s doing in the Senate, as compared to 52% who disapprove. This approval rating has dropped substantially from our August poll, where we found that voters approved of her by a 46-43 margin. Her numbers have remained above water with independents, who approve of her by a 42-38 margin. Cassidy, on the other hand, has only a middling favorability with Louisiana voters—24% have a favorable opinion of him as compared to 26% who have an unfavorable opinion. His favorability ratings are markedly better than Hollis (11/22) and Maness (11/19) though.