Raleigh, N.C. – PPP’s newest poll finds Jeb Bush leading the field for the Republican nomination in 2016. Bush picks up 30% of the vote from likely Republican primary voters, with Marco Rubio coming in second with just 14%. The only other person to get double-digit support is Rand Paul with 11%. Bush leads among voters self-described as moderate, somewhat conservative, and very conservative.
However, a potential match-up between Bush and Hillary Clinton is a dead heat right now, with Clinton picking up 46% to Bush’s 45%. This comes despite his high favorability rating of 51% with 35% unfavorable, and Clinton’s almost even rating with 46% favorable and 47% unfavorable. Despite the fact that Bush represents the toughest test for Clinton in Florida, 50% of voters think he should not run in 2016 compared to only 35% that think he should. This is a better result than Marco Rubio receives though, as 59% of voters think that Rubio should not run in 2016.
The other potential Republican match-ups with Clinton do not come nearly as close as Bush. Clinton leads Chris Christie 46/38, Ted Cruz 50/39, Mike Huckabee 48/41, Rand Paul 48/42, and Rubio 48/44. Clinton picks up a majority of both moderates and younger voters in all of these other match-ups.