Raleigh, N.C.- PPP’s most recent poll of Iowa voters shows a closely divided, though stable, political climate in the Hawkeye State. Republicans seem likely to hold on to hold on to the governorship, as both Governor Terry Branstad and Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds hold leads over most Democratic candidates. Chet Culver seems to be the Democrats’ most viable option, as the former Governor trails Branstad by just 5%, 47% to 42%, and leads Reynolds 42% to 38%. Every other potential challenger falls to Branstad by double digits, though the races are much closer against Reynolds.
In the 2014 election to replace retiring Democratic Senator Tom Harkin, who has an approval rating of 49% to 39% disapproval, the best margin for any political figure in Iowa, the Democrats are likely to retain the seat. Congressman Bruce Braley holds double digit leads over every major Republican candidate, with the sole exception of former US Attorney Matt Whitaker, whom he leads by 9%, 43% to 34%. This may be due to the fact that he has the highest name recognition of any possible Senate candidate, with 58% having an opinion (34% favorable, 24% unfavorable) compared to 19% for radio host Sam Clovis (5%/14%), 20% for State Senator Joni Ernst (7%/13%), 16% for businessman Mark Jacobs (4%/12%), and 24% for Matt Whitaker (9%/15%).