Raleigh, N.C. – President Obama has quite possibly dropped more in Connecticut than in any other state he won in 2008. He beat John McCain in the Nutmeg State by over 22 points, and now leads Mitt Romney by only eight among likely voters in this fall’s election. But there is almost no chance that margin closes much if any further in this still pretty strongly Democratic state.
Obama has 51% to Romney’s 43%. That is down from the 61-38 victory he scored over McCain, but up from his only two-point edge (47-45) the last time PPP polled the state in September 2011. That is because of three things: Obama is up from 79% to 83% of his own party, which makes up over 40% of the electorate; he is now poaching 15% of Romney’s partisans, up from 9% last fall; and Romney is down from a 12-point lead (48-36) with the state’s sizeable chunk of independents to only a seven-point edge (47-40).