Raleigh, N.C. – Some Democrats, trying to clear the field for John Walsh, are frustrated by John Bohlinger’s candidacy for U.S. Senate in Montana, but at this point, it doesn’t really matter which one runs against current at-large Rep. Steve Daines next fall—they both are down double digits. Only 37% of voters approve of Daines’ job performance, with 42% disapproving, down a net 13 points since PPP last polled the state in June, when it was 41-33. But the partisanship of the electorate, President Obama’s 34% approval rating, the toxicity of Obamacare, and both Democrats’ low profiles help Daines post a 51-36 lead over Bohlinger and 52-35 over Walsh. In June, Daines had 45% to 49% of the vote against other Democrats.
Part of Daines’ lead is name identification. Only 21% of voters are unfamiliar with him, versus 40% for Bohlinger and 53% for Walsh. Because of that, about twice as many Democrats and independents are undecided as Republicans.