Raleigh, N.C. – The ever close Massachusetts Senate race has drawn closer in the last three months. Elizabeth Warren remains at 46%, but incumbent Republican Scott Brown has drawn up five points to tie Warren because of resurgent support from independent voters.
In fact, Brown has doubled his margin with independents. He led by 12 points with them the last time PPP polled the state in March, and he is up 24 now. The candidates’ shares of the respective two-party vote remain essentially unchanged, with Brown still drawing nearly 20% of Warren’s party and Warren pulling less than 10% of Brown’s. The problem for Warren is that 13% of current Obama voters and 18% of those who say they voted for him in 2008 are with Brown right now.