PPP's newest Florida poll finds Democrats leading 5 of 6 potential Senate match ups, although all of them are by narrow margins and there are a lot of undecided voters on the table because the candidates are so little known. Patrick Murphy leads the 3 top Republican contenders by an average of 7 points- David Jolly comes closest at 38/34, followed by Ron DeSantis at 41/33, and Carlos Lopez-Cantera 40/31. Alan Grayson leads the top 3 Republicans by an average of 2 points- he actually trails Jolly at 38/35, but leads Lopez-Cantera 38/35 and DeSantis 40/34.
None of the candidates have even 50% name recognition at this point. Grayson's the best known at 47% but it's not necessarily a good thing as only 16% of voters see him favorably to 31% who have an unfavorable view of him. The rest have only 25-31% name recognition.
The big leader in both party's primaries at this point is 'undecided.' On the Republican side 47% of voters have no current preference. David Jolly gets 26% to 14% for Ron DeSantis, 11% for Carlos Lopez-Cantera, and 2% for Todd Wilcox. On the Democratic side 45% of voters have no current preference, with Alan Grayson getting 33% and Patrick Murphy 22%.
Other notes from Florida:
-It looks like there's a good chance the second time will be the charm when it comes to getting a medical marijuana initiative passed in Florida. 65% of voters say they'll vote for one this fall to only 28% who are opposed, passing the 60% threshold with some breathing room. There's bipartisan support for the measure with Democrats (75/18), independents (70/22), and Republicans (53/40) all expressing their favor for it.
-Florida is another great example of how the politics have changed on Obamacare. Voters in the state narrowly support it, 42% to 41%, a big departure from the old days when it used to be very unpopular in key swing states like Florida. There's 47/31 favor for it among independents.