Raleigh, N.C. – Three years ago, Pat Quinn surprised some by beating Bill Brady for a full term as governor by less than a point in a terrible turnout environment for Democrats and following the impeachment of his predecessor, Rod Blagojevich. To boot, Quinn had a 32-54 approval rating of his own. His numbers since then have only gone down. In PPP’s latest poll, he has a 34-60 approval spread.
In the short term, however, Quinn’s numbers are trending slightly upward. A year ago, PPP measured him at 25-64, making him then the least popular governor in the country. His 13-point marginal improvement has coincided with an improving re-election picture. He trailed Dan Rutherford by four points and Kirk Dillard by seven in the previous poll, but he now ties Dillard at 39%, and trails Rutherford by two points, 39-41. Quinn also ties Brady at 41% and leads Bruce Rauner by three (41-38). Still, 39-41% of the vote is not a strong position in which to start.
Unlike Quinn, Dick Durbin’s 46-40 approval spread is down 11 points on the margin from the 51-34 PPP measured a year ago. But he is in good company. President Obama’s own approval numbers in his home state are only 50-46, still one of his ten best states. But that is down a net 12 points from last November (57-41). The similar decline for Durbin and Obama is likely a result of the current national mood which has sent a lot of Democrats’ and Republicans’ numbers sharply downward in recent months.