Raleigh, N.C. – If the 2016 presidential contest were between Hillary Clinton and Ted Cruz, it has the potential of producing the most lopsided national popular vote result since Lyndon Johnson routed Barry Goldwater in 1964. But Cruz remains at or near the top of Republicans’ preference in the primary.
Clinton leads Cruz by 17 points, 50-33, by far the worst outcome of the four matchups tested. As usual, Chris Christie comes closest to Clinton, trailing by only five (44-39), followed by Jeb Bush nine points down (48-39) and Rand Paul 12 (49-37).
If Joe Biden were the Democratic nominee, he would do an average of about eight and a half points worse than Clinton. He trails Christie by seven (38-45) and Bush by one (42-43), but still leads Paul by seven (45-38) and Cruz by 10 (46-36).