Raleigh, N.C. – Our new Kansas survey continues to find Greg Orman in the lead for US Senate- and that Orman's lead could expand further if Chad Taylor is able to get off the ballot. Orman leads with 41% to 34% for Pat Roberts, 6% for Taylor, and 4% for Libertarian Randall Batson. But if Taylor supporters had to choose between Orman and Roberts, they'd take Orman by a 67/16 spread. That's enough to push Orman up to a double digit lead in a head to head match up with Roberts, at 46/36.
The big story in this race continues to be Roberts' unpopularity. Only 29% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 46% who disapprove. Those numbers have barely budged from when he posted a 27/44 spread last month. Roberts continues to be plagued by his residence issues- only 29% of voters think he considers Kansas to be his home, compared to 53% who think it's Washington DC.
Despite their current support of Orman, 49% of Kansans still want a US Senate that is controlled by the Republicans to only 39% who want one controlled by the Democrats. Right now only 62% of people who want a GOP controlled Senate say they're going to vote for Roberts. If he can effectively nationalize the race- Barack Obama has a 33/58 approval rating in the state- and get those folks who want GOP control to cast their votes for him Roberts will find himself in a much better place.