PPP's newest look at the Montana Senate race finds it has tightened considerably over the last eight months. John Walsh now trails Steve Daines only 46/39 in his quest to be elected for a full term. That represents a 10 point gain for Walsh since November when he trailed Daines by 17 points at 52/35.
Walsh and Daines have very similar approval numbers. Walsh is on slightly positive ground at a 38/37 approval, while Daines is on slightly negative ground at a 39/40 approval. Daines' approval numbers have dropped a net 9 points from last summer when we found him at a 41/33 spread. He went under water following the government shutdown and has not seen his numbers turn back around.
One place where Walsh has seen real improvement as he's become better known is in his crossover support from Republicans. Where he trailed 90/3 with them in November, that deficit is now just 79/12. Walsh has a slightly more unified party behind him, getting 81% of Democrats. Daines leads 41/32 with independents, but that has tightened from 48/35 last fall.
The generic Senate ballot in Montana actually gives Republicans only a 45/41 lead. Daines' lead is larger than that mostly based on his having slightly greater name recognition from having run statewide on his own account in 2012. Daines remains the favorite in the Senate race, but it looks to have a lot more potential to be competitive than it did previously.
Full results here