Raleigh, N.C. – 10 years into his time in the US Senate, John Cornyn is still a blank slate to a surprisingly large percentage of Texas voters. They're closely divided on his job performance with 34% of voters approving of him and 36% disapproving, with 30% not having an opinion either way.
Those numbers don't really mean Cornyn is vulnerable. It's harder for a Senator in a big state like Texas to maintain a major statewide profile than it is in most of the rest of the country. Cornyn's numbers are somewhat similar to what we found for Bill Nelson early in the 2012 election cycle, and he went on to win reelection by double digits anyway.Nevertheless Democrats could be more competitive than usual if they put up a strong candidate against Cornyn. Bill White comes within 3 points in a hypothetical match up, 45/42. Cornyn leads Julian Castro by 7 points at 48/41, Annise Parker by 11 at 47/36, and Wendy Davis by 11 at 48/37.