PPP's new North Carolina poll finds Hillary Clinton with her largest lead in the state since May. 61% of Democrats in the state support Clinton to 24% for Bernie Sanders, 5% for Martin O'Malley, and 2% for Lawrence Lessig. A month ago Clinton led 51/23 in a Joe Biden-less field and these numbers suggest that pretty much everyone who's made up their mind since then has gone into her camp.
North Carolina provides more evidence of Clinton's favorability numbers improving over the last month. She's gone up a net 9 points from +34 (63/29) in September to now +43 (67/24). Her lead is pretty steady across the board- she gets 74% with African Americans, 66% with seniors, 65% with liberals, 62% with women, 60% with men, 58% with moderates, and 57% with whites. The group where Sanders come closest is with younger voters, but even there Clinton still has a 50/34 advantage.
Donald Trump may be on the down swing with Republican primary voters some places, but not North Carolina. He leads the field in the state with 31% to 23% for Ben Carson and 11% for Marco Rubio. None of the other GOP hopefuls in the state even get more than 6%- Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, and Carly Fiorina all tie for 4th place at that mark, followed by Mike Huckabee and John Kasich in a tie for 7th place at 5%. Chris Christie in 9th at 3% and Rand Paul and Rick Santorum tied for 10th at 2% round out the field of candidates with any measurable support. Kids table debate contestants Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, and George Pataki all register at less than 1%.
Trump's support is actually up 5 points from a month ago in North Carolina when he led with 26%. His favorability comes in at 52/35, where it was basically an identical 53/36 in September. The only candidates besides Trump to see any increase in their support are Carson (21% to 23%) and Paul (0 to 2%) who each saw a 2 point gain. The folks headed in the wrong direction are Carly Fiorina, whose support's been cut in half from 12% to 6%, and Ted Cruz who's gone from 9% to 6%. Cruz has been on the upswing in some of our other recent polling so that could just be noise. Fiorina's image has clearly taken a hit though- she's gone from +35 (58/23) all the way down to +14 (45/31) on her favorability.