Raleigh, N.C. – When we last polled the 2015 Louisiana gubernatorial race, we found the Democratic mayor of New Orleans, Mitch Landrieu, with a lead on both of his potential Republican opponents. In our latest Louisiana poll, we found the opposite. Landrieu, who led Republican Senator David Vitter 45-42 in August, now trails Vitter 50-37. Against Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne, Landrieu had held a solid 45-35 lead. Dardenne now beats him by ten points, 46-36. Democrat John Bel Edwards trails Vitter and Dardenne by even larger margins, 51-30 and 48-27 respectively.
The problems for Landrieu seem to echo his sister’s, namely that Republicans have united against him. In August, he garnered 20% of the Republican vote against Vitter, and 23% against Dardenne. Those numbers are down to just 9% and 11%, respectively. Landrieu also finds himself in trouble with Democrats. In August he led Vitter among Democrats by 56%, and Dardenne by 55%. He now leads by only 41% against Vitter and 38% against Dardenne. As for who would win in a Vitter-Dardenne matchup, Vitter beats Dardenne 41-29 statewide, and 63-21 among Republicans.