PPP's newest North Carolina poll finds Kay Hagan continuing to grow her lead over Thom Tillis as the legislative session drags on. Hagan now has 41% to 34% for Tillis and 8% for Libertarian Sean Haugh. Her lead is up from 2 points in May and 5 points in June.
The protracted legislative session with Tillis at the helm of it can't be doing him any favors. Only 19% of voters approve of the job the General Assembly is doing to 57% who disapprove, and legislative Republicans specifically have a 31/52 favorability rating. Those things are working together to help make Tillis very personally unpopular- only 24% of voters see him favorably to 47% with a negative opinion. Tillis' continued efforts to fundraise while the state budget is in limbo is creating bad optics as well- only 24% of voters think it's appropriate for him to be out there raising money right now to 50% who consider it to be inappropriate.
The news is not all rosy for Hagan. She continues to have negative approval numbers, with only 40% of voters approving of her to 50% who disapprove. And she is very much being propped up right now by the 8% Haugh is receiving, which does not seem likely to hold through until November. When Haugh voters are reallocated to who they would support if they had to pick between Hagan and Tillis, her lead drops to 42-39.
The big question is whether the momentum toward Hagan over the last few months will stick once the legislature has gone home. Last year Hagan saw her lead spike upwards during the summer, before crashing back to earth in the wake of the negative Obamacare fallout. But for now things have definitely trended in her direction.
Full results here