PPP's newest Minnesota poll finds that if Hillary Clinton runs for President in 2016 the state is likely to remain safely blue. She leads all of the top potential Republican candidates by double digits there- it's 47/37 over Chris Christie, 49/39 over Jeb Bush, 50/40 over Mike Huckabee, 49/38 over Rand Paul, and 51/35 over Ted Cruz.
We also tested the pair of Minnesotans who ran for President in 2012. Tim Pawlenty has seen some improvement in his image over the last year. He has a narrowly positive favorability rating at 43/41, compared to a 39/50 spread when we polled last May. He comes the closest of any Republican to Clinton, trailing just 48/42. Michele Bachmann, on the other hand, is as unpopular as ever. She has a 31/56 favorability rating, and trails Clinton by the most of any of the Republicans we tested at 52/35.
Other notes from Minnesota:
-About a year after gay marriage became legal in the state, support for it has hit an all time high in our polling with 52% of voters in favor of it to only 40% who are opposed. In the immediate aftermath of its becoming legal we last year we found 49/45 support. The reason for the increased support may simply be that Minnesotans have found that gay marriage being legal isn't a big deal- 80% say it's either had a positive impact on their life or none at all, with just 20% claiming that it's been a negative thing.
-Sunday liquor sales remain popular with 60% of voters supporting them to just 28% who are opposed. There is bipartisan majority support with Democrats (67/21), independents (58/26), and Republicans (52/40) all in favor of it.
-There's strong support for medical marijuana, recently passed in the state, with 74% of voters in support of it to only 18% who are opposed. There's very strong support for it across party lines with Democrats (86/9), independents (69/21), and Republicans (64/28) all giving it greater than 2:1 support.
-One thing that may make Minnesota a particularly tough state for Republicans to break through in this fall compared to others is that Obamacare isn't even unpopular there- 43% of voters support it to 42% who are opposed.
-65% of Minnesotans identify themselves as Twins fans to 5% each for the Red Sox and Cubs, 3% for the Brewers, and 2% for the Braves and Yankees. Despite the team's recent struggles fans continue to put their support behind Ron Gardenhire- 52% approve of the job he's doing to 16% who disapprove. There's not a ton of optimism for this season though- only 44% of fans think the team will make the playoffs to 48% who think they'll miss out, and just 11% hold dreams of a trip to the World Series.
Full results here