PPP's newest Michigan poll finds that Gary Peters has reclaimed the lead over Terri Lynn Land in the Senate race as perceptions about the rollout of Obamacare have dramatically improved during the last four months.
In early December Land led Peters by a 2 point margin in our polling. Now Peters is ahead by 5 points at 41/36. The race has moved largely because what was a 17 point lead for Land with independents is now a tie between the two candidates. Early attacks ads on Land have taken a toll on her favorability rating- it's declined a net 14 points since our last poll from a +11 spread at 34/23 to now a -3 spread at 28/31. There hasn't been much change in feelings about Peters with voters who have an opinion about him still pretty evenly divided.
One thing that's helped make the terrain better for Peters as he tries to keep the seat Democratic is that opinions about how the Obamacare rollout has gone have improved dramatically since our last poll. In December 63% of voters rated the rollout as having been unsuccessful, compared to just 30% who thought it had gone well. Now it's down to 52% who rate the rollout as unsuccessful with those saying it's been a success up to 40%. Voters are still opposed to the Affordable Care Act overall- 37% support it to 48% who are opposed- but it's not as problematic an issue for Democrats as it was late last year.
The Governor's race has barely moved at all since December- Rick Snyder held a 4 point lead for reelection over Mark Schauer then and he continues to hold a 4 point lead for reelection now, at 43/39. Snyder is not terribly popular- 40% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 48% who disapprove. And voters say by a 44/34 margin that they would vote to repeal his signature right to work law. But he outperforms his approval numbers for a couple reasons.
Other notes from Michigan:
-Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette continues to have a modest lead for reelection over his Democratic opponent Mark Totten, 36/33. It's a good indicator how much attention voters pay to people in down ballot officers that 54% of Michiganders say they don't have an opinion about Schuette one way or the other even after almost a full term in office.
-Democrats have a 10 point lead on the generic legislative ballot in the state at 46/36. Legislative Democrats (41/39) have a narrowly positive favorability rating while legislative Republicans (29/51) continue to be extremely unpopular. What a 10 point lead for Democrats equates to in seat gains is debatable because of the Republican drawn district lines.
Full results here