Wisconsin Republicans are more excited about the prospect of Paul Ryan running for President in 2016 than Scott Walker...but they both lag behind Hillary Clinton even in their home state.
Ryan leads the GOP Presidential field in Wisconsin with 25% to 21% for Walker, 8% each for Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, and Rand Paul, 7% for Ted Cruz, 6% for Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, and 3% for Bobby Jindal. Asked one on one who they'd prefer out of their state's potential homegrown candidates, Republicans in the state pick Ryan 52/35. And while GOP voters pretty firmly want Ryan to run in 2016- 55% say he should go for it to 26% who dissent- they're much more divided about Walker with 43% saying he should run and 42% that he should not.
When it comes to the general election though Hillary Clinton leads all comers. Ryan comes closest at 50/45, with Walker not far behind at 51/44. All of the other potential Republican hopefuls trail Clinton by double digits- it's 50/39 against both Bush and Paul, 50/38 against Huckabee, and 49/36 against Christie. The overall electorate doesn't think either Ryan (33% yes, 52% no) or Walker (29% yes, 61% no) should run for President in 2016.
Even with potential home state candidate Russ Feingold in the mix, 57% of Wisconsin Democrats say they want Clinton to be their nominee in 2016 to 19% for Feingold, 8% for Joe Biden, and 5% for Elizabeth Warren.
Other notes from Wisconsin:
-For the first time PPP finds a plurality of voters in the state in support of gay marriage- 47% support it to 45% who are opposed. Those numbers represent a 13 point net increase in support from 2011, when we found only 39% there supported gay marriage with 50% against it. Showing the direction public opinion is headed in on the issue, 65% of voters under 30 support it to only 35% who are opposed. When you broaden the discussion to include civil unions 71% of voters in the state, including 55% of Republicans, support some form of legal recognition for same sex couples, to only 26% completely opposed.
-Wisconsin makes a rare swing state where voters- albeit by the narrowest of margins- say they support the Affordable Care Act. 43% are for it to 42% who are opposed, even as 50% express the belief that its rollout was unsuccessful to 44% who think it went well.
-Shifting gears to sports, 63% of voters in the state identify as Brewers fans to 5% for the Cubs, 4% for the Twins, and 1 or 2% for the other teams polled. After their hot start Brewers fans are feeling very optimistic about this season with 80% believing they'll make the playoffs to only 11% who think they'll be sitting at home in October. 29% think they'll win the National League, and 12% even think they'll win the World Series. Among all Wisconsin voters Ryan Braun has a positive favorability rating with 35% giving him positive marks to 26% with a negative opinion. That represents a net 33 point improvement from September when he was at 15/39, suggesting Braun has had some success at rehabilitating his image.
-When it comes to college basketball loyalties in the state, there is no contest. 54% say they're Wisconsin fans to 8% for Wisconsin-Green Bay, 7% for Marquette, and 6% for Wisconsin-Milwaukee. After this year's Final Four run, Bo Ryan enjoys a 82/3 approval rating with Badgers fans. To the extent they have opinions about it Marquette fans are happy with the hiring of Steve Wojciechowski- 56% approve of it to only 2% who disapprove. But they don't have too much ill will toward Buzz Williams for leaving- 53% still say they have a favorable opinion of him to only 12% who have a negative one.
Full results here